What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 114 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), North Macedonia drew 29 where the draw model expected 23.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 Oct 2012 → 15 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 12 Nov 2015 → 28 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 09 Oct 1996 → 11 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 22 Dec 2010 → 07 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 23 Feb 2000 → 06 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Sep 2018 → 21 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 29 Jan 2004 → 04 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 14 Feb 2003 → 06 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 10 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Jun 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 117 | 36 | 30.8% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 81 | 19 | 23.5% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 78 | 18 | 23.1% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Nations League | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA European Championship | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Prime Minister's Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2025 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2014 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2013 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2006 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2005 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2003 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 2001 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2000 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1997 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1995 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1994 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 18:45 | North Macedonia | vs | Scotland | – / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 06 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Oct 18:45 | Switzerland | vs | North Macedonia | – / – / – | 11.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.