▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
AZE · National Team

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan national football team
ESPN
Played 314
Draw % 25.8%
No-draw N 1
Max streak 10 02 Jun 1996 → 08 Jun 1997
Avg top run 7.9 top 10
Draw debt E 0.22
p50 20.0%
p100 23.0%
Draw score 0.124 rank #1,328 Draws 81
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,438 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,588 reached 22 Mar 2024
Rank #244 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 314 last 4 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L W D L W L L L L D L L L D L L D L L L L W D L W W D D W
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 112 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Azerbaijan drew 28 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 10 02 Jun 1996 → 08 Jun 1997 2 9 07 Sep 2010 → 10 Aug 2011 3 9 07 Sep 1994 → 11 Oct 1995 4 8 10 Jun 2022 → 27 Mar 2023 5 8 11 Nov 2016 → 08 Oct 2017 6 8 28 Mar 2009 → 10 Oct 2009 7 7 09 Sep 2023 → 22 Mar 2024 8 7 24 Mar 2021 → 01 Sep 2021 9 7 03 Sep 2014 → 07 Jun 2015 10 6 07 Jun 2024 → 14 Oct 2024
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 132 41 31.1%
UEFA Euro qualification 76 11 14.5%
FIFA World Cup qualification 72 16 22.2%
UEFA Nations League 27 10 37.0%
FIFA Series 4 2 50.0%
Malta International Tournament 3 1 33.3%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 3 37.5% 3
2025 10 2 20.0% 4
2024 10 2 20.0% 6
2023 9 1 11.1% 6
2022 10 1 10.0% 6
2021 13 2 15.4% 7
2020 7 4 57.1% 3
2019 10 2 20.0% 4
2018 12 5 41.7% 3
2017 7 0 0.0% 7
2016 8 3 37.5% 2
2015 8 3 37.5% 3
2014 7 1 14.3% 5
2013 12 7 58.3% 1
2012 10 4 40.0% 3
2011 10 1 10.0% 5
2010 10 3 30.0% 4
2009 13 3 23.1% 8
2008 11 4 36.4% 3
2007 14 3 21.4% 6
2006 8 4 50.0% 2
2005 11 2 18.2% 6
2004 10 5 50.0% 3
2003 7 2 28.6% 4
2002 8 2 25.0% 4
2001 9 2 22.2% 5
2000 9 2 22.2% 5
1999 9 2 22.2% 5
1998 10 2 20.0% 6
1997 10 1 10.0% 6
1996 8 2 25.0% 4
1995 6 1 16.7% 5
1994 5 0 0.0% 4
1993 3 0 0.0% 3
1992 1 0 0.0% 1
1979 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 04 Oct 2026 Azerbaijan 1–0 Lithuania H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 01 Oct 2026 Azerbaijan 0–0 Liechtenstein D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 27 Sep 2026 Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 23 Sep 2026 Azerbaijan 1–0 Tajikistan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Azerbaijan 2–1 San Marino H ITL · Friendly
☆ 05 Jun 2026 Azerbaijan 0–2 Malta A ITL · Friendly
☆ 30 Mar 2026 Azerbaijan 1–1 Sierra Leone D ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 27 Mar 2026 Azerbaijan 6–1 Saint Lucia H ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Azerbaijan 1–3 France A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Azerbaijan 0–2 Iceland A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2025 Ukraine 2–1 Azerbaijan H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Oct 2025 France 3–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Azerbaijan 1–1 Ukraine D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Iceland 5–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Azerbaijan 1–2 Hungary A ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Jun 2025 Latvia 0–0 Azerbaijan D ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2025 Azerbaijan 0–2 Belarus A ITL · Friendly
☆ 22 Mar 2025 Azerbaijan 0–3 Haiti A ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Sweden 6–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Azerbaijan 0–0 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Azerbaijan 1–3 Slovakia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Estonia 3–1 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Sep 2024 Slovakia 2–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Sep 2024 Azerbaijan 1–3 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Jun 2024 Azerbaijan 3–2 Kazakhstan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Jun 2024 Albania 3–1 Azerbaijan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2024 Azerbaijan 1–1 Bulgaria D ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 22 Mar 2024 Azerbaijan 1–0 Mongolia H ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Belgium 5–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2023 Azerbaijan 3–0 Sweden H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Oct 2023 Azerbaijan 0–1 Austria A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2023 Estonia 0–2 Azerbaijan A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Sep 2023 Azerbaijan 2–1 Jordan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Sep 2023 Azerbaijan 0–1 Belgium A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Jun 2023 Azerbaijan 1–1 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Sweden 5–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2023 Austria 4–1 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Nov 2022 North Macedonia 1–3 Azerbaijan A ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2022 Moldova 1–2 Azerbaijan A ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Sep 2022 Azerbaijan 3–0 Kazakhstan H ITL · UEFA Nations League
314 matches · page 1 / 8 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
☆ 13 Nov 19:45 Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan – / – / – 16.3% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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