▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
POL · National Team

Poland

Poland national football team
ESPN
Played 896
Draw % 25.2%
No-draw N 3
Max streak 21 29 May 2005 → 02 Sep 2006
Avg top run 13.5 top 10
Draw debt E 0.68
p50 22.0%
p100 23.0%
Draw score 0.179 rank #885 Draws 226
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,740 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,972 reached 10 Jun 2017
Rank #64 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 896 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
D W W L L D W L L D L L W W W L D W W W D W W L L D D L W L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 131 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Poland drew 33 where the draw model expected 27.2 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 30.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 21 29 May 2005 → 02 Sep 2006 2 17 31 May 1997 → 03 Feb 1999 3 15 02 Apr 2003 → 31 Mar 2004 4 14 22 May 1988 → 03 Jun 1989 5 13 12 Oct 1980 → 18 Nov 1981 6 13 15 May 1974 → 31 Oct 1974 7 12 06 Jun 1978 → 21 Mar 1979 8 10 26 Nov 2022 → 12 Oct 2023 9 10 16 May 1973 → 26 Sep 1973 10 10 30 Oct 1968 → 09 Nov 1969
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 539 145 26.9%
FIFA World Cup qualification 137 25 18.3%
UEFA Euro qualification 120 31 25.8%
FIFA World Cup 38 6 15.8%
UEFA Nations League 26 6 23.1%
UEFA European Championship 17 8 47.1%
Balkan Cup 5 2 40.0%
Nehru Cup 4 1 25.0%
Cyprus International Tournament 3 1 33.3%
Marlboro Cup 2 0 0.0%
King's Cup 2 0 0.0%
Lunar New Year Cup 1 0 0.0%
Olympic Games 1 0 0.0%
Four Nations' Cup 1 1 100.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 2 25.0% 3
2025 10 2 20.0% 4
2024 13 3 23.1% 4
2023 10 2 20.0% 7
2022 13 3 23.1% 4
2021 15 5 33.3% 4
2020 8 1 12.5% 4
2019 10 1 10.0% 5
2018 13 4 30.8% 4
2017 8 1 12.5% 6
2016 14 6 42.9% 3
2015 9 3 33.3% 3
2014 10 3 30.0% 3
2013 12 3 25.0% 4
2012 14 5 35.7% 3
2011 13 4 30.8% 3
2010 13 6 46.2% 3
2009 13 3 23.1% 5
2008 16 4 25.0% 5
2007 13 5 38.5% 4
2006 17 2 11.8% 11
2005 14 1 7.1% 10
2004 13 3 23.1% 5
2003 15 2 13.3% 12
2002 13 1 7.7% 8
2001 11 5 45.5% 3
2000 10 4 40.0% 2
1999 12 3 25.0% 6
1998 10 0 0.0% 10
1997 14 3 21.4% 6
1996 10 3 30.0% 4
1995 9 3 33.3% 5
1994 11 4 36.4% 3
1993 14 6 42.9% 3
1992 11 4 36.4% 3
1991 14 7 50.0% 2
1990 16 5 31.3% 5
1989 13 2 15.4% 7
1988 10 2 20.0% 7
1987 11 1 9.1% 8
1986 11 4 36.4% 3
1985 15 4 26.7% 6
1984 13 5 38.5% 3
1983 6 3 50.0% 2
1982 10 3 30.0% 5
1981 9 0 0.0% 9
1980 18 4 22.2% 4
1979 12 3 25.0% 5
1978 14 1 7.1% 9
1977 13 2 15.4% 9
1976 7 0 0.0% 5
1975 10 2 20.0% 7
1974 17 2 11.8% 13
1973 16 3 18.8% 10
1972 3 1 33.3% 1
1971 6 2 33.3% 2
1970 10 2 20.0% 6
1969 9 1 11.1% 8
1968 8 3 37.5% 2
1967 5 2 40.0% 3
1966 12 5 41.7% 5
1965 8 4 50.0% 4
1964 5 1 20.0% 3
1963 6 2 33.3% 2
1962 9 1 11.1% 6
1961 6 1 16.7% 3
1960 5 1 20.0% 3
1959 6 2 33.3% 4
1958 6 3 50.0% 2
1957 7 1 14.3% 3
1956 7 2 28.6% 5
1955 3 2 66.7% 1
1954 2 1 50.0% 1
1953 5 3 60.0% 1
1952 5 1 20.0% 3
1951 1 0 0.0% 1
1950 5 2 40.0% 3
1949 6 0 0.0% 6
1948 7 2 28.6% 4
1947 7 1 14.3% 6
1939 4 2 50.0% 1
1938 9 3 33.3% 5
1937 6 1 16.7% 3
1936 5 2 40.0% 1
1935 6 1 16.7% 3
1934 6 1 16.7% 5
1933 5 0 0.0% 5
1932 4 0 0.0% 4
1931 5 0 0.0% 5
1930 2 0 0.0% 2
1928 3 1 33.3% 2
1927 1 1 100.0% 0
1926 6 0 0.0% 6
1925 5 2 40.0% 2
1924 6 0 0.0% 6
1923 5 2 40.0% 2
1922 4 1 25.0% 2
1921 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 05 Oct 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–0 Poland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 Poland 6–0 Romania H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 28 Sep 2026 Sweden 3–1 Poland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Poland 0–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 03 Jun 2026 Poland 2–2 Nigeria D ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 May 2026 Poland 0–2 Ukraine A ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Sweden 3–2 Poland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 26 Mar 2026 Poland 2–1 Albania H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2025 Malta 2–3 Poland A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Nov 2025 Poland 1–1 Netherlands D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2025 Lithuania 0–2 Poland A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Oct 2025 Poland 1–0 New Zealand H ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Sep 2025 Poland 3–1 Finland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 04 Sep 2025 Netherlands 1–1 Poland D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Finland 2–1 Poland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Poland 2–0 Moldova H ITL · Friendly
☆ 24 Mar 2025 Poland 2–0 Malta H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2025 Poland 1–0 Lithuania H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 18 Nov 2024 Poland 1–2 Scotland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Nov 2024 Portugal 5–1 Poland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Oct 2024 Poland 3–3 Croatia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 12 Oct 2024 Poland 1–3 Portugal A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Sep 2024 Croatia 1–0 Poland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Sep 2024 Scotland 2–3 Poland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Jun 2024 France 1–1 Poland D ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 21 Jun 2024 Poland 1–3 Austria A ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 16 Jun 2024 Poland 1–2 Netherlands A ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 10 Jun 2024 Poland 2–1 Turkey H ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Jun 2024 Poland 3–1 Ukraine H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Wales 4–5(ft:0–0) Poland D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Poland 5–1 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 21 Nov 2023 Poland 2–0 Latvia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 17 Nov 2023 Poland 1–1 Czechia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 15 Oct 2023 Poland 1–1 Moldova D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Faroe Islands 0–2 Poland A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Albania 2–0 Poland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Poland 2–0 Faroe Islands H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Moldova 3–2 Poland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2023 Poland 1–0 Germany H ITL · Friendly
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Poland 1–0 Albania H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
896 matches · page 1 / 23 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆ 14 Nov 19:45 Romania vs Poland – / – / – 26.8% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
☆ 17 Nov 19:45 Poland vs Sweden – / – / – 24.4% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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