☆
· ITL · UEFA Nations League
Team ☆
all results ›
LUX · National Team
Luxembourg
Luxembourg national football team
Played
471
Draw %
13.4%
No-draw N
6
Max streak
27
06 Sep 2003 → 02 Sep 2006
Avg top run
13.0
top 10
Draw debt E
1.16
p50
20.0%
p100
19.0%
Draw score
0.254
rank #553
Draws
63
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,429
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,605
reached 19 Nov 2023
Rank
#253
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
471
last 6 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 114 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Luxembourg drew 20 where the draw model expected 22.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 27
06 Sep 2003 → 02 Sep 2006
2 15
24 Nov 1979 → 01 May 1981
3 14
09 Feb 2011 → 07 Sep 2012
4 14
12 Oct 1983 → 27 Mar 1985
5 13
14 Jun 2015 → 07 Oct 2016
6 13
07 Jun 2000 → 06 Oct 2001
7 9
09 Oct 2021 → 11 Jun 2022
8 9
07 Sep 1994 → 06 Sep 1995
9 8
16 Oct 2023 → 08 Sep 2024
10 8
10 Mar 1999 → 23 Feb 2000
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 06 Sep 2003 → 02 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 24 Nov 1979 → 01 May 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Feb 2011 → 07 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 12 Oct 1983 → 27 Mar 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 14 Jun 2015 → 07 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 07 Jun 2000 → 06 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Oct 2021 → 11 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 07 Sep 1994 → 06 Sep 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 16 Oct 2023 → 08 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 10 Mar 1999 → 23 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 164 | 33 | 20.1% | 2 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 148 | 10 | 6.8% | 6 | 12 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 128 | 13 | 10.2% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Nations League | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 4 | 5 |
| Olympic Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2019 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2016 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2015 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2013 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2011 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2009 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2007 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 |
| 2006 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2002 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2001 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2000 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1999 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1994 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1984 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1983 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
471 matches · page 1 / 12
‹ prev
next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 13 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Nov 19:45 | Luxembourg | vs | Estonia | – / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Mon, 16 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Nov 17:00 | Iceland | vs | Luxembourg | – / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.