▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
BUL · National Team

Bulgaria

Bulgaria national football team
ESPN
Played 740
Draw % 25.5%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 13 25 Mar 2016 → 07 Oct 2017
Avg top run 10.3 top 10
Draw debt E 0.64
p50 36.0%
p100 29.0%
Draw score 0.189 rank #820 Draws 189
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,555 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,861 reached 7 Jun 1995
Rank #145 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 740 last 6 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
D D W D D D D W D L W D L L D L L L L L L W W W L D L D L W
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 109 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Bulgaria drew 30 where the draw model expected 22.8 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 13 25 Mar 2016 → 07 Oct 2017 2 12 13 Jun 1996 → 11 Oct 1997 3 12 29 Nov 1978 → 23 Dec 1979 4 10 10 Jun 2025 → 01 Jun 2026 5 10 26 Aug 1992 → 28 Apr 1993 6 10 01 Apr 1987 → 23 Mar 1988 7 10 18 Nov 1973 → 01 Jun 1974 8 9 23 Mar 1983 → 21 Dec 1983 9 9 01 Jun 1966 → 11 Jun 1967 10 8 12 Aug 2009 → 19 May 2010
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 351 102 29.1%
FIFA World Cup qualification 143 29 20.3%
UEFA Euro qualification 130 33 25.4%
Balkan Cup 41 4 9.8%
UEFA Nations League 30 11 36.7%
FIFA World Cup 26 8 30.8%
UEFA European Championship 6 1 16.7%
Kirin Cup 4 0 0.0%
FIFA Series 4 1 25.0%
Cyprus International Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Olympic Games 1 0 0.0%
Lunar New Year Cup 1 0 0.0%
Kirin Challenge Cup 1 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 2 25.0% 3
2025 10 1 10.0% 7
2024 10 6 60.0% 2
2023 10 4 40.0% 4
2022 10 4 40.0% 3
2021 13 4 30.8% 4
2020 8 2 25.0% 6
2019 10 3 30.0% 4
2018 8 2 25.0% 4
2017 7 1 14.3% 5
2016 8 0 0.0% 8
2015 7 1 14.3% 6
2014 6 2 33.3% 3
2013 9 1 11.1% 7
2012 9 4 44.4% 3
2011 9 2 22.2% 5
2010 9 1 11.1% 6
2009 10 3 30.0% 6
2008 7 3 42.9% 2
2007 11 2 18.2% 5
2006 9 3 33.3% 3
2005 11 3 27.3% 5
2004 13 5 38.5% 5
2003 10 2 20.0% 5
2002 8 2 25.0% 4
2001 12 2 16.7% 5
2000 11 2 18.2% 6
1999 11 2 18.2% 6
1998 11 3 27.3% 4
1997 6 1 16.7% 5
1996 12 2 16.7% 7
1995 9 2 22.2% 3
1994 14 5 35.7% 6
1993 9 2 22.2% 5
1992 8 1 12.5% 5
1991 9 4 44.4% 3
1990 5 1 20.0% 4
1989 8 1 12.5% 4
1988 12 4 33.3% 4
1987 6 0 0.0% 6
1986 12 6 50.0% 3
1985 12 2 16.7% 5
1984 8 5 62.5% 2
1983 10 1 10.0% 9
1982 10 3 30.0% 4
1981 17 3 17.7% 8
1980 10 2 20.0% 7
1979 11 0 0.0% 11
1978 12 6 50.0% 2
1977 10 3 30.0% 6
1976 11 4 36.4% 4
1975 5 2 40.0% 2
1974 17 6 35.3% 9
1973 15 4 26.7% 7
1972 5 2 40.0% 2
1971 8 2 25.0% 4
1970 11 6 54.6% 3
1969 8 2 25.0% 3
1968 5 1 20.0% 2
1967 7 2 28.6% 3
1966 8 1 12.5% 7
1965 8 1 12.5% 6
1964 4 2 50.0% 2
1963 7 2 28.6% 3
1962 8 2 25.0% 3
1961 5 0 0.0% 5
1960 7 0 0.0% 7
1959 5 1 20.0% 3
1958 6 2 33.3% 2
1957 8 3 37.5% 3
1956 4 0 0.0% 4
1955 7 2 28.6% 3
1954 2 1 50.0% 1
1953 7 4 57.1% 2
1952 1 0 0.0% 1
1950 4 1 25.0% 3
1949 4 1 25.0% 3
1948 5 1 20.0% 4
1947 4 0 0.0% 4
1946 2 1 50.0% 1
1943 1 0 0.0% 1
1942 1 0 0.0% 1
1940 2 0 0.0% 2
1939 2 0 0.0% 1
1938 2 0 0.0% 2
1937 2 2 100.0% 0
1936 2 0 0.0% 2
1935 5 1 20.0% 2
1934 7 0 0.0% 5
1933 4 0 0.0% 4
1932 7 1 14.3% 5
1931 5 0 0.0% 5
1930 5 1 20.0% 3
1929 3 1 33.3% 1
1927 3 1 33.3% 1
1926 2 0 0.0% 2
1925 2 0 0.0% 2
1924 2 0 0.0% 2
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 03 Oct 2026 Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Jun 2026 Moldova 2–2 Bulgaria D ITL · Friendly
☆ 01 Jun 2026 Bulgaria 0–1 Montenegro A ITL · Friendly
☆ 30 Mar 2026 Indonesia 0–1 Bulgaria A ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 27 Mar 2026 Solomon Islands 2–10 Bulgaria A ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 18 Nov 2025 Bulgaria 2–1 Georgia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 15 Nov 2025 Turkey 2–0 Bulgaria H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Spain 4–0 Bulgaria H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Bulgaria 1–6 Turkey A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2025 Georgia 3–0 Bulgaria H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 04 Sep 2025 Bulgaria 0–3 Spain A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Greece 4–0 Bulgaria H ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Bulgaria 2–2 Cyprus D ITL · Friendly
☆ 23 Mar 2025 Republic of Ireland 2–1 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 20 Mar 2025 Bulgaria 1–2 Republic of Ireland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 18 Nov 2024 Bulgaria 1–1 Belarus D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Nov 2024 Luxembourg 0–1 Bulgaria A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Oct 2024 Northern Ireland 5–0 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 12 Oct 2024 Bulgaria 0–0 Luxembourg D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Sep 2024 Bulgaria 1–0 Northern Ireland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Sep 2024 Belarus 0–0 Bulgaria D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Jun 2024 Slovenia 1–1 Bulgaria D ITL · Friendly
☆ 04 Jun 2024 Romania 0–0 Bulgaria D ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2024 Azerbaijan 1–1 Bulgaria D ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 22 Mar 2024 Bulgaria 1–0 Tanzania H ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Serbia 2–2 Bulgaria D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2023 Bulgaria 2–2 Hungary D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 Albania 2–0 Bulgaria H ITL · Friendly
☆ 14 Oct 2023 Bulgaria 0–2 Lithuania A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Montenegro 2–1 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Bulgaria 0–1 Iran A ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Bulgaria 1–1 Serbia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Jun 2023 Lithuania 1–1 Bulgaria D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Hungary 3–0 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2023 Bulgaria 0–1 Montenegro A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Nov 2022 Luxembourg 0–0 Bulgaria D ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2022 Cyprus 0–2 Bulgaria A ITL · Friendly
740 matches · page 1 / 19 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
☆ 13 Nov 19:45 Bulgaria vs Iceland – / – / – 26.9% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
☆ 16 Nov 17:00 Estonia vs Bulgaria – / – / – 29.7% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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