▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
SRB · National Team

Serbia

Serbia national football team
ESPN
Played 352
Draw % 25.3%
No-draw N 15
Max streak 15 28 May 2008 → 12 Aug 2009
Avg top run 10.1 top 10
Draw debt E 3.66
p50 22.0%
p100 26.0%
Draw score 0.651 rank #10 Draws 89
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,734 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,933 reached 18 Nov 2022
Rank #66 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 352 last 4 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L W L D D D L W L D D D W D W W L L W L W L W L L L L L L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 126 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Serbia drew 31 where the draw model expected 27.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 29.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 15 10 Jun 2025 → 04 Oct 2026 2 15 14 Oct 2014 → 31 May 2016 3 15 28 May 2008 → 12 Aug 2009 4 10 23 Dec 1994 → 24 Apr 1996 5 9 09 Oct 2021 → 09 Jun 2022 6 9 11 Sep 2012 → 14 Aug 2013 7 8 23 Mar 2018 → 07 Sep 2018 8 7 07 Jun 2019 → 14 Nov 2019 9 7 10 Oct 2009 → 29 May 2010 10 6 05 Jun 2010 → 03 Sep 2010
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 136 30 22.1%
FIFA World Cup qualification 78 19 24.4%
UEFA Euro qualification 66 20 30.3%
UEFA Nations League 30 10 33.3%
FIFA World Cup 16 2 12.5%
UEFA European Championship 7 3 42.9%
Kirin Cup 6 1 16.7%
Millennium Cup 5 1 20.0%
Korea Cup 3 2 66.7%
Lunar New Year Cup 2 1 50.0%
Cyprus International Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Kirin Challenge Cup 1 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 0 0.0% 8
2025 10 2 20.0% 7
2024 12 5 41.7% 4
2023 11 2 18.2% 5
2022 12 2 16.7% 5
2021 14 5 35.7% 4
2020 8 4 50.0% 2
2019 10 3 30.0% 7
2018 13 2 15.4% 8
2017 9 3 33.3% 5
2016 11 3 27.3% 4
2015 8 0 0.0% 8
2014 8 2 25.0% 3
2013 10 2 20.0% 5
2012 11 3 27.3% 4
2011 12 3 25.0% 3
2010 14 2 14.3% 6
2009 12 1 8.3% 7
2008 11 2 18.2% 8
2007 10 5 50.0% 2
2006 12 3 25.0% 5
2005 12 5 41.7% 4
2004 9 3 33.3% 2
2003 10 2 20.0% 6
2002 11 2 18.2% 5
2001 16 5 31.3% 5
2000 13 4 30.8% 6
1999 8 2 25.0% 3
1998 15 5 33.3% 3
1997 14 6 42.9% 4
1996 9 1 11.1% 6
1995 6 0 0.0% 6
1994 2 0 0.0% 2
1950 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 04 Oct 2026 Netherlands 2–1 Serbia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 01 Oct 2026 Germany 2–0 Serbia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 27 Sep 2026 Serbia 1–2 Netherlands A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 24 Sep 2026 Serbia 1–2 Greece A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 04 Jun 2026 Mexico 5–1 Serbia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 May 2026 Cape Verde 3–0 Serbia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Serbia 2–1 Saudi Arabia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 27 Mar 2026 Spain 3–0 Serbia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Serbia 2–1 Latvia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 England 2–0 Serbia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Andorra 1–3 Serbia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Serbia 0–1 Albania A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Serbia 0–5 England A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Sep 2025 Latvia 0–1 Serbia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Serbia 3–0 Andorra H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 07 Jun 2025 Albania 0–0 Serbia D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 23 Mar 2025 Serbia 2–0 Austria H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 20 Mar 2025 Austria 1–1 Serbia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 18 Nov 2024 Serbia 0–0 Denmark D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Nov 2024 Switzerland 1–1 Serbia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Oct 2024 Spain 3–0 Serbia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 12 Oct 2024 Serbia 2–0 Switzerland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Sep 2024 Denmark 2–0 Serbia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Sep 2024 Serbia 0–0 Spain D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Jun 2024 Denmark 0–0 Serbia D ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 20 Jun 2024 Slovenia 1–1 Serbia D ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 16 Jun 2024 Serbia 0–1 England A ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 08 Jun 2024 Sweden 0–3 Serbia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 04 Jun 2024 Austria 2–1 Serbia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2024 Cyprus 0–1 Serbia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Serbia 2–2 Bulgaria D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 15 Nov 2023 Belgium 1–0 Serbia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 17 Oct 2023 Serbia 3–1 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2023 Hungary 2–1 Serbia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Lithuania 1–3 Serbia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Serbia 1–2 Hungary A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Bulgaria 1–1 Serbia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2023 Serbia 3–2 Jordan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Montenegro 0–2 Serbia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2023 Serbia 2–0 Lithuania H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
352 matches · page 1 / 9 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
☆ 13 Nov 19:45 Serbia vs Germany – / – / – 22.8% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
☆ 16 Nov 19:45 Greece vs Serbia – / – / – 23.5% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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