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MKD · National Team
North Macedonia
North Macedonia national football team
Played
310
Draw %
25.8%
No-draw N
5
Max streak
14
12 Oct 2012 → 15 Oct 2013
Avg top run
8.5
top 10
Draw debt E
1.33
p50
26.0%
p100
27.0%
Draw score
0.331
rank #343
Draws
80
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,594
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,758
reached 24 Mar 2022
Rank
#120
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
310
last 6 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 116 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), North Macedonia drew 29 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 14
12 Oct 2012 → 15 Oct 2013
2 12
12 Nov 2015 → 28 Mar 2017
3 10
09 Oct 1996 → 11 Oct 1997
4 8
22 Dec 2010 → 07 Oct 2011
5 8
23 Feb 2000 → 06 Oct 2000
6 7
06 Sep 2018 → 21 Mar 2019
7 7
29 Jan 2004 → 04 Sep 2004
8 7
14 Feb 2003 → 06 Sep 2003
9 6
10 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025
10 6
05 Jun 2022 → 22 Oct 2022
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 Oct 2012 → 15 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 12 Nov 2015 → 28 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 09 Oct 1996 → 11 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 22 Dec 2010 → 07 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 23 Feb 2000 → 06 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Sep 2018 → 21 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 29 Jan 2004 → 04 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 14 Feb 2003 → 06 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 10 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Jun 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 117 | 36 | 30.8% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 81 | 19 | 23.5% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 78 | 18 | 23.1% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Nations League | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA European Championship | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Prime Minister's Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2014 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2013 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2006 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2005 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2003 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 2001 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2000 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1997 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1995 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1994 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
310 matches · page 1 / 8
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 13 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Nov 19:45 | Scotland | vs | North Macedonia | – / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Mon, 16 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Nov 19:45 | North Macedonia | vs | Slovenia | – / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.