▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
SWE · National Team

Sweden

Sweden national football team
ESPN
Played 1,109
Draw % 21.2%
No-draw N 1
Max streak 21 29 Mar 2011 → 12 Oct 2012
Avg top run 13.8 top 10
Draw debt E 0.15
p50 16.0%
p100 15.0%
Draw score 0.084 rank #1,666 Draws 235
Trophies 1 competition
ITL · FIFA World Cup
🥈 1 × Runner-up (1958)
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,841 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,968 reached 3 Jul 2018
Rank #36 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 1,109 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
L L W W D W W W L W W W D L L L L D W W L D W L D L W W D W
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 146 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Sweden drew 27 where the draw model expected 32.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 21 29 Mar 2011 → 12 Oct 2012 2 17 18 Jun 2021 → 24 Sep 2022 3 16 03 Jun 2013 → 04 Sep 2014 4 14 20 Feb 2003 → 31 Mar 2004 5 13 05 Sep 2020 → 05 Jun 2021 6 12 09 Oct 1968 → 01 Nov 1969 7 12 03 Jul 1926 → 12 Jun 1927 8 11 16 Nov 2022 → 12 Oct 2023 9 11 17 Feb 2001 → 07 Oct 2001 10 11 28 Feb 1981 → 28 Oct 1981
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 558 124 22.2%
FIFA World Cup qualification 149 23 15.4%
Nordic Championship 141 26 18.4%
UEFA Euro qualification 122 27 22.1%
FIFA World Cup 55 14 25.5%
UEFA Nations League 26 4 15.4%
UEFA European Championship 24 7 29.2%
King's Cup 13 5 38.5%
Olympic Games 11 1 9.1%
Joe Robbie Cup 2 1 50.0%
Scania 100 Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Four Nations Tournament 2 1 50.0%
Lunar New Year Cup 2 1 50.0%
Cyprus International Tournament 2 1 50.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 12 3 25.0% 3
2025 10 2 20.0% 4
2024 11 1 9.1% 7
2023 12 1 8.3% 9
2022 10 1 10.0% 7
2021 16 1 6.3% 10
2020 10 0 0.0% 8
2019 12 4 33.3% 3
2018 17 5 29.4% 7
2017 11 2 18.2% 5
2016 13 5 38.5% 3
2015 12 2 16.7% 6
2014 11 3 27.3% 6
2013 15 3 20.0% 10
2012 13 1 7.7% 11
2011 13 1 7.7% 10
2010 10 2 20.0% 7
2009 13 1 7.7% 9
2008 14 3 21.4% 7
2007 14 3 21.4% 5
2006 15 6 40.0% 7
2005 12 4 33.3% 8
2004 16 5 31.3% 5
2003 14 1 7.1% 11
2002 14 10 71.4% 1
2001 17 4 23.5% 11
2000 12 6 50.0% 3
1999 11 2 18.2% 5
1998 9 2 22.2% 5
1997 13 2 15.4% 6
1996 11 2 18.2% 8
1995 11 6 54.6% 2
1994 19 5 26.3% 6
1993 9 3 33.3% 5
1992 14 3 21.4% 5
1991 9 2 22.2% 6
1990 13 2 15.4% 9
1989 9 1 11.1% 6
1988 10 3 30.0% 4
1987 9 3 33.3% 3
1986 8 3 37.5% 2
1985 8 2 25.0% 4
1984 8 2 25.0% 4
1983 12 1 8.3% 7
1982 9 5 55.6% 2
1981 11 0 0.0% 11
1980 10 3 30.0% 4
1979 12 3 25.0% 5
1978 10 3 30.0% 4
1977 10 0 0.0% 10
1976 10 2 20.0% 6
1975 8 2 25.0% 5
1974 13 3 23.1% 8
1973 11 3 27.3% 4
1972 8 3 37.5% 2
1971 8 1 12.5% 5
1970 10 4 40.0% 3
1969 11 0 0.0% 11
1968 9 3 33.3% 2
1967 8 2 25.0% 4
1966 9 2 22.2% 5
1965 9 3 33.3% 2
1964 8 4 50.0% 3
1963 8 4 50.0% 2
1962 10 1 10.0% 6
1961 8 0 0.0% 8
1960 6 0 0.0% 6
1959 7 0 0.0% 7
1958 10 2 20.0% 5
1957 8 2 25.0% 5
1956 6 3 50.0% 2
1955 9 2 22.2% 5
1954 9 1 11.1% 6
1953 11 4 36.4% 5
1952 9 2 22.2% 6
1951 9 2 22.2% 5
1950 11 1 9.1% 8
1949 8 2 25.0% 3
1948 7 1 14.3% 3
1947 7 0 0.0% 7
1946 5 1 20.0% 4
1945 7 0 0.0% 7
1943 5 1 20.0% 3
1942 4 0 0.0% 4
1941 3 1 33.3% 2
1940 4 2 50.0% 2
1939 6 0 0.0% 6
1938 10 1 10.0% 9
1937 8 1 12.5% 4
1936 5 0 0.0% 5
1935 9 1 11.1% 8
1934 7 1 14.3% 4
1933 7 1 14.3% 4
1932 12 1 8.3% 6
1931 7 1 14.3% 6
1930 9 2 22.2% 5
1929 7 0 0.0% 7
1928 8 0 0.0% 8
1927 9 2 22.2% 3
1926 12 2 16.7% 9
1925 7 0 0.0% 7
1924 14 3 21.4% 7
1923 9 1 11.1% 8
1922 7 2 28.6% 2
1921 9 4 44.4% 2
1920 9 1 11.1% 7
1919 8 1 12.5% 6
1918 4 0 0.0% 4
1917 4 2 50.0% 2
1916 5 1 20.0% 3
1915 4 1 25.0% 2
1914 5 2 40.0% 1
1913 6 1 16.7% 5
1912 6 1 16.7% 4
1911 4 0 0.0% 4
1910 1 0 0.0% 1
1908 4 0 0.0% 4
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 05 Oct 2026 Romania 0–1 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 28 Sep 2026 Sweden 3–1 Poland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Sweden 2–1 Romania H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 30 Jun 2026 France 3–0 Sweden H ITL · FIFA World Cup
☆ 25 Jun 2026 Japan 1–1 Sweden D ITL · FIFA World Cup
☆ 20 Jun 2026 Netherlands 5–1 Sweden H ITL · FIFA World Cup
☆ 14 Jun 2026 Sweden 5–1 Tunisia H ITL · FIFA World Cup
☆ 04 Jun 2026 Sweden 2–2 Greece D ITL · Friendly
☆ 01 Jun 2026 Norway 3–1 Sweden H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Sweden 3–2 Poland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 26 Mar 2026 Ukraine 1–3 Sweden A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 18 Nov 2025 Sweden 1–1 Slovenia D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 15 Nov 2025 Switzerland 4–1 Sweden H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2025 Sweden 0–1 Kosovo A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Oct 2025 Sweden 0–2 Switzerland A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2025 Kosovo 2–0 Sweden H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Slovenia 2–2 Sweden D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Sweden 4–3 Algeria H ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Hungary 0–2 Sweden A ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2025 Sweden 5–1 Northern Ireland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 22 Mar 2025 Luxembourg 1–0 Sweden H ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Sweden 6–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Sweden 2–1 Slovakia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Estonia 0–3 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Slovakia 2–2 Sweden D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Sep 2024 Sweden 3–0 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Sep 2024 Azerbaijan 1–3 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Jun 2024 Sweden 0–3 Serbia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 05 Jun 2024 Denmark 2–1 Sweden H ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2024 Sweden 1–0 Albania H ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Portugal 5–2 Sweden H ITL · Friendly
☆ 12 Jan 2024 Sweden 2–1 Estonia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Sweden 2–0 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2023 Azerbaijan 3–0 Sweden H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Oct 2023 Belgium 1–1 Sweden D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Sweden 3–1 Moldova H ITL · Friendly
☆ 12 Sep 2023 Sweden 1–3 Austria A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2023 Estonia 0–5 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Austria 2–0 Sweden H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
1,109 matches · page 1 / 28 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆ 14 Nov 19:45 Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina – / – / – 23.5% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
☆ 17 Nov 19:45 Poland vs Sweden – / – / – 24.4% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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