LTU ยท National Team

Lithuania

Lithuania national football team
Played 438
Draw % 19.4%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 25 06 Sep 2006 โ†’ 15 Oct 2008
Avg top run 11.6 top 10
Draw debt E 0.46
p50 28.0%
p100 20.0%
Draw score 0.141 rank #1,149 Draws 85
Team strength ยท Elo all ratings โ€บ
Rating 1,361 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,750 reached 10 Sep 2008
Rank #282 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 438 last 4 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form ยท draws highlighted
L L W W W D L L L L L L L D D L D L L L D L W L D L W D W L

Over 115 matches (Mar 2015 โ€“ Oct 2026), Lithuania drew 24 where the draw model expected 22.6 from those particular fixtures โ€” about 1 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 27.0 instead โ€” "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page โ€บ
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 164 32 19.5%
FIFA World Cup qualification 89 19 21.3%
UEFA Euro qualification 74 12 16.2%
Baltic Cup 67 16 23.9%
UEFA Nations League 29 4 13.8%
Cyprus International Tournament 9 1 11.1%
Malta International Tournament 3 1 33.3%
Four Nations Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Olympic Games 1 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 2 25.0% 2
2025 10 4 40.0% 3
2024 10 1 10.0% 6
2023 10 4 40.0% 2
2022 10 2 20.0% 6
2021 13 1 7.7% 12
2020 8 2 25.0% 3
2019 10 2 20.0% 7
2018 12 1 8.3% 8
2017 7 1 14.3% 5
2016 9 3 33.3% 4
2015 8 1 12.5% 6
2014 10 3 30.0% 4
2013 9 2 22.2% 7
2012 10 3 30.0% 4
2011 8 1 12.5% 5
2010 8 2 25.0% 3
2009 9 1 11.1% 8
2008 12 2 16.7% 10
2007 11 0 0.0% 11
2006 8 1 12.5% 4
2005 9 2 22.2% 6
2004 8 2 25.0% 4
2003 11 1 9.1% 9
2002 8 1 12.5% 6
2001 10 2 20.0% 5
2000 10 0 0.0% 10
1999 10 2 20.0% 4
1998 12 4 33.3% 5
1997 14 3 21.4% 4
1996 10 2 20.0% 6
1995 12 2 16.7% 5
1994 8 1 12.5% 7
1993 14 3 21.4% 5
1992 11 5 45.5% 3
1991 2 1 50.0% 1
1990 1 1 100.0% 0
1979 7 1 14.3% 6
1966 1 0 0.0% 1
1956 4 0 0.0% 4
1949 2 0 0.0% 2
1948 2 0 0.0% 2
1947 3 1 33.3% 2
1945 3 0 0.0% 3
1940 4 1 25.0% 2
1939 2 0 0.0% 2
1938 5 1 20.0% 3
1937 4 0 0.0% 4
1936 4 0 0.0% 4
1935 6 4 66.7% 1
1934 4 1 25.0% 2
1933 7 2 28.6% 4
1932 7 0 0.0% 7
1931 5 0 0.0% 5
1930 3 1 33.3% 1
1929 2 0 0.0% 2
1928 3 1 33.3% 2
1927 2 0 0.0% 2
1926 2 0 0.0% 2
1925 2 1 50.0% 1
1924 3 0 0.0% 3
1923 1 0 0.0% 1
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
โ˜† 04 Oct 2026 Azerbaijan 1โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 30 Sep 2026 Lithuania 3โ€“0 Andorra H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 27 Sep 2026 Lithuania 1โ€“1 Azerbaijan D ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 24 Sep 2026 Liechtenstein 0โ€“2 Lithuania A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 09 Jun 2026 Estonia 1โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท Baltic Cup
โ˜† 06 Jun 2026 Lithuania 1โ€“1 Latvia D ITL ยท Baltic Cup
โ˜† 29 Mar 2026 Lithuania 0โ€“2 Georgia A ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 26 Mar 2026 Moldova 0โ€“2 Lithuania A ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 17 Nov 2025 Netherlands 4โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 13 Nov 2025 Lithuania 0โ€“0 Israel D ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 12 Oct 2025 Lithuania 0โ€“2 Poland A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 09 Oct 2025 Finland 2โ€“1 Lithuania H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 07 Sep 2025 Lithuania 2โ€“3 Netherlands A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 04 Sep 2025 Lithuania 1โ€“1 Malta D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 10 Jun 2025 Denmark 5โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 07 Jun 2025 Malta 0โ€“0 Lithuania D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 24 Mar 2025 Lithuania 2โ€“2 Finland D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 21 Mar 2025 Poland 1โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 18 Nov 2024 Kosovo 1โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 15 Nov 2024 Cyprus 2โ€“1 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 15 Oct 2024 Lithuania 1โ€“2 Romania A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 12 Oct 2024 Lithuania 1โ€“2 Kosovo A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 09 Sep 2024 Romania 3โ€“1 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 06 Sep 2024 Lithuania 0โ€“1 Cyprus A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 11 Jun 2024 Lithuania 1โ€“1 Estonia D ITL ยท Baltic Cup
โ˜† 08 Jun 2024 Latvia 0โ€“2 Lithuania A ITL ยท Baltic Cup
โ˜† 26 Mar 2024 Lithuania 1โ€“0 Gibraltar H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 21 Mar 2024 Gibraltar 0โ€“1 Lithuania A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 19 Nov 2023 Cyprus 1โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 16 Nov 2023 Montenegro 2โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 17 Oct 2023 Lithuania 2โ€“2 Hungary D ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 14 Oct 2023 Bulgaria 0โ€“2 Lithuania A ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 10 Sep 2023 Lithuania 1โ€“3 Serbia A ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 07 Sep 2023 Lithuania 2โ€“2 Montenegro D ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 20 Jun 2023 Hungary 2โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 17 Jun 2023 Lithuania 1โ€“1 Bulgaria D ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 27 Mar 2023 Greece 0โ€“0 Lithuania D ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 24 Mar 2023 Serbia 2โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 19 Nov 2022 Estonia 2โ€“0 Lithuania H ITL ยท Baltic Cup
โ˜† 16 Nov 2022 Lithuania 0โ€“0 Iceland D ITL ยท Baltic Cup
438 matches ยท page 1 / 11 โ€น prev next โ€บ
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home ยท Away 1 / X / 2 Draw ยท logistic Tournament
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
โ˜† 16 Nov 17:00 Lithuania vs Liechtenstein โ€“ / โ€“ / โ€“ 15.5% ITL ยท UEFA Nations League

Draw ยท logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals โ€” the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate โ€” fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.