▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
ARM · National Team

Armenia

Armenia national football team
ESPN
Played 276
Draw % 21.0%
No-draw N 0
Max streak 15 04 Jun 2011 → 14 Nov 2012
Avg top run 9.6 top 10
Draw debt E 0.00
p50 18.0%
p100 21.0%
Draw score 0.061 rank #1,892 Draws 58
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,418 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,671 reached 27 May 2014
Rank #260 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 276 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
L D L L L L W W L D L L W L L L D L W L L L L L D D W L L D
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 108 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Armenia drew 23 where the draw model expected 22.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 24.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 15 04 Jun 2011 → 14 Nov 2012 2 13 28 May 2016 → 05 Oct 2017 3 11 11 Oct 2021 → 27 Sep 2022 4 10 01 Apr 2009 → 03 Sep 2010 5 10 07 Jun 1995 → 30 Jun 1996 6 9 16 Oct 2002 → 18 Feb 2004 7 7 06 Sep 2025 → 29 Mar 2026 8 7 21 Nov 2023 → 10 Sep 2024 9 7 26 Mar 2013 → 11 Oct 2013 10 7 17 Oct 2007 → 26 Mar 2008
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 81 20 24.7%
FIFA World Cup qualification 78 17 21.8%
UEFA Euro qualification 76 15 19.7%
UEFA Nations League 30 5 16.7%
Cyprus International Tournament 8 1 12.5%
Malta International Tournament 3 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 7 3 42.9% 3
2025 10 1 10.0% 6
2024 10 1 10.0% 6
2023 10 3 30.0% 3
2022 10 1 10.0% 8
2021 12 4 33.3% 3
2020 6 2 33.3% 2
2019 10 1 10.0% 6
2018 10 4 40.0% 5
2017 9 1 11.1% 6
2016 8 1 12.5% 7
2015 6 1 16.7% 3
2014 9 1 11.1% 6
2013 9 2 22.2% 7
2012 9 0 0.0% 9
2011 8 1 12.5% 6
2010 7 1 14.3% 4
2009 8 2 25.0% 6
2008 10 2 20.0% 4
2007 12 4 33.3% 3
2006 6 1 16.7% 2
2005 9 1 11.1% 5
2004 9 2 22.2% 6
2003 7 0 0.0% 7
2002 3 1 33.3% 1
2001 8 4 50.0% 2
2000 8 3 37.5% 3
1999 9 1 11.1% 4
1998 5 1 20.0% 2
1997 9 2 22.2% 4
1996 9 3 33.3% 5
1995 7 1 14.3% 5
1994 5 1 20.0% 3
1992 1 1 100.0% 0
1979 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 05 Oct 2026 Montenegro 0–0 Armenia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 Cyprus 2–0 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 28 Sep 2026 Armenia 2–3 Montenegro A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Armenia 2–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Armenia 1–1 Moldova D ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2026 Armenia 1–1 Kazakhstan D ITL · Friendly
☆ 29 Mar 2026 Armenia 1–2 Belarus A ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Portugal 9–1 Armenia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Armenia 0–1 Hungary A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Republic of Ireland 1–0 Armenia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Hungary 2–0 Armenia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Armenia 2–1 Republic of Ireland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Sep 2025 Armenia 0–5 Portugal A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2025 Montenegro 2–2 Armenia D ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Kosovo 5–2 Armenia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 23 Mar 2025 Georgia 6–1 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 20 Mar 2025 Armenia 0–3 Georgia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 17 Nov 2024 Latvia 1–2 Armenia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Nov 2024 Armenia 0–1 Faroe Islands A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 13 Oct 2024 Armenia 0–2 North Macedonia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Oct 2024 Faroe Islands 2–2 Armenia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Sep 2024 North Macedonia 2–0 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Sep 2024 Armenia 4–1 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Jun 2024 Armenia 2–1 Kazakhstan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 04 Jun 2024 Slovenia 2–1 Armenia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Czechia 2–1 Armenia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 22 Mar 2024 Armenia 0–1 Kosovo A ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Nov 2023 Croatia 1–0 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 18 Nov 2023 Armenia 1–1 Wales D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 North Macedonia 3–1 Armenia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Latvia 2–0 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 11 Sep 2023 Armenia 0–1 Croatia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2023 Turkey 1–1 Armenia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 19 Jun 2023 Armenia 2–1 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2023 Wales 2–4 Armenia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 28 Mar 2023 Armenia 2–2 Cyprus D ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2023 Armenia 1–2 Turkey A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2022 Albania 2–0 Armenia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2022 Kosovo 2–2 Armenia D ITL · Friendly
☆ 27 Sep 2022 Republic of Ireland 3–2 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
276 matches · page 1 / 7 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
☆ 12 Nov 17:00 Armenia vs Cyprus – / – / – 27.4% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
☆ 15 Nov 14:00 Latvia vs Armenia – / – / – 29.0% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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