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Team ☆ all results ›
LVA · National Team

Latvia

Latvia national football team
ESPN
Played 467
Draw % 24.0%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 22 07 Oct 2006 → 11 Oct 2008
Avg top run 11.7 top 10
Draw debt E 0.56
p50 28.0%
p100 28.0%
Draw score 0.162 rank #995 Draws 112
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,328 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,642 reached 9 Sep 2009
Rank #293 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 467 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L L L D D L W L W L D L L W L D D L L D L D L D L L D L L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 115 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Latvia drew 34 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 22 07 Oct 2006 → 11 Oct 2008 2 13 09 Oct 1999 → 24 Mar 2001 3 11 02 Sep 2016 → 03 Sep 2017 4 11 21 Apr 1998 → 24 Feb 1999 5 11 09 Nov 1996 → 11 Jul 1997 6 11 15 Nov 1994 → 11 Oct 1995 7 10 22 Mar 2023 → 21 Nov 2023 8 10 21 Mar 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 9 10 02 Jun 2001 → 22 May 2002 10 8 28 May 1931 → 27 Sep 1931
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 170 39 22.9%
FIFA World Cup qualification 93 20 21.5%
UEFA Euro qualification 80 13 16.3%
Baltic Cup 68 23 33.8%
UEFA Nations League 28 11 39.3%
Cyprus International Tournament 14 1 7.1%
UEFA European Championship 3 1 33.3%
King's Cup 3 2 66.7%
Malta International Tournament 3 1 33.3%
Four Nations Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Prime Minister's Cup 2 1 50.0%
Olympic Games 1 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 6 2 33.3% 2
2025 10 4 40.0% 2
2024 10 3 30.0% 5
2023 10 0 0.0% 10
2022 10 4 40.0% 6
2021 13 3 23.1% 5
2020 8 5 62.5% 2
2019 10 0 0.0% 10
2018 12 6 50.0% 2
2017 9 1 11.1% 6
2016 9 2 22.2% 5
2015 8 4 50.0% 2
2014 8 3 37.5% 2
2013 11 4 36.4% 3
2012 9 2 22.2% 5
2011 9 1 11.1% 6
2010 11 4 36.4% 4
2009 9 2 22.2% 4
2008 10 2 20.0% 8
2007 12 0 0.0% 12
2006 6 1 16.7% 3
2005 15 6 40.0% 4
2004 17 5 29.4% 5
2003 14 2 14.3% 5
2002 8 2 25.0% 3
2001 10 1 10.0% 7
2000 10 0 0.0% 10
1999 9 4 44.4% 3
1998 13 1 7.7% 10
1997 14 1 7.1% 10
1996 8 3 37.5% 2
1995 10 0 0.0% 10
1994 8 1 12.5% 6
1993 9 2 22.2% 3
1992 12 4 33.3% 5
1991 2 1 50.0% 1
1979 1 0 0.0% 1
1949 2 0 0.0% 2
1948 2 1 50.0% 1
1947 2 0 0.0% 2
1945 1 0 0.0% 1
1942 2 0 0.0% 2
1940 4 1 25.0% 2
1939 4 1 25.0% 2
1938 6 3 50.0% 1
1937 9 1 11.1% 5
1936 5 1 20.0% 4
1935 8 5 62.5% 1
1934 5 1 20.0% 3
1933 6 2 33.3% 2
1932 8 1 12.5% 5
1931 8 0 0.0% 8
1930 6 2 33.3% 3
1929 5 1 20.0% 2
1928 6 2 33.3% 4
1927 5 0 0.0% 5
1926 4 0 0.0% 4
1925 3 2 66.7% 1
1924 4 0 0.0% 4
1923 1 1 100.0% 0
1922 1 1 100.0% 0
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 05 Oct 2026 Cyprus 2–1 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 Latvia 1–2 Montenegro A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 28 Sep 2026 Latvia 0–0 Cyprus D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Armenia 2–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Latvia 0–1 Faroe Islands A ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 06 Jun 2026 Lithuania 1–1 Latvia D ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Serbia 2–1 Latvia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 North Macedonia 0–0 Latvia D ITL · Friendly
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Latvia 0–5 England A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Latvia 2–2 Andorra D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Albania 1–0 Latvia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Sep 2025 Latvia 0–1 Serbia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Latvia 1–1 Albania D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 07 Jun 2025 Latvia 0–0 Azerbaijan D ITL · Friendly
☆ 24 Mar 2025 England 3–0 Latvia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2025 Andorra 0–1 Latvia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2024 Latvia 1–2 Armenia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Nov 2024 North Macedonia 1–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 13 Oct 2024 Faroe Islands 1–1 Latvia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Oct 2024 Latvia 0–3 North Macedonia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Sep 2024 Latvia 1–0 Faroe Islands H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Sep 2024 Armenia 4–1 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Jun 2024 Latvia 1–0 Faroe Islands H ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 08 Jun 2024 Latvia 0–2 Lithuania A ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Latvia 1–1 Liechtenstein D ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Cyprus 1–1 Latvia D ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Nov 2023 Poland 2–0 Latvia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 18 Nov 2023 Latvia 0–2 Croatia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 15 Oct 2023 Turkey 4–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Latvia 2–0 Armenia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 11 Sep 2023 Latvia 0–2 Wales A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2023 Croatia 5–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 19 Jun 2023 Armenia 2–1 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2023 Latvia 2–3 Turkey A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 28 Mar 2023 Wales 1–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 22 Mar 2023 Republic of Ireland 3–2 Latvia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2022 Latvia 1–1 Iceland D ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 16 Nov 2022 Latvia 1–1 Estonia D ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 25 Sep 2022 Andorra 1–1 Latvia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 22 Sep 2022 Latvia 1–2 Moldova A ITL · UEFA Nations League
467 matches · page 1 / 12 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
☆ 12 Nov 19:45 Montenegro vs Latvia – / – / – 22.6% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
☆ 15 Nov 14:00 Latvia vs Armenia – / – / – 29.0% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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