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Team ☆ all results ›
WAL · National Team

Wales

Wales national football team
ESPN
Played 730
Draw % 22.6%
No-draw N 5
Max streak 46 06 Feb 2008 → 26 Mar 2013
Avg top run 13.1 top 10
Draw debt E 1.51
p50 32.0%
p100 29.0%
Draw score 0.266 rank #495 Draws 165
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,746 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,892 reached 16 Jun 2021
Rank #59 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 730 last 4 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
D D W D D L D W D W D W W D W L W L L L W W D D D L L L W L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 121 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Wales drew 35 where the draw model expected 27.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 46 06 Feb 2008 → 26 Mar 2013 2 12 06 Sep 2018 → 09 Sep 2019 3 10 31 Mar 1999 → 02 Sep 2000 4 10 13 Oct 1993 → 29 Mar 1995 5 10 06 Sep 1989 → 06 Feb 1991 6 9 28 Mar 2016 → 05 Sep 2016 7 9 20 May 1992 → 31 Mar 1993 8 9 17 May 1980 → 16 May 1981 9 8 06 Jun 2025 → 18 Nov 2025 10 8 09 Sep 1987 → 14 Sep 1988
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
British Home Championship 260 59 22.7%
Friendly 167 41 24.6%
FIFA World Cup qualification 136 30 22.1%
UEFA Euro qualification 116 25 21.6%
UEFA Nations League 26 5 19.2%
UEFA European Championship 10 1 10.0%
FIFA World Cup 8 4 50.0%
Nations Cup 3 0 0.0%
Kirin Cup 2 0 0.0%
Chinese FA Cup 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 3 37.5% 5
2025 10 1 10.0% 8
2024 10 5 50.0% 1
2023 10 4 40.0% 3
2022 12 3 25.0% 3
2021 16 6 37.5% 4
2020 8 2 25.0% 3
2019 10 2 20.0% 6
2018 9 1 11.1% 6
2017 8 3 37.5% 5
2016 13 4 30.8% 9
2015 7 1 14.3% 3
2014 6 2 33.3% 3
2013 9 3 33.3% 3
2012 7 0 0.0% 7
2011 10 0 0.0% 10
2010 6 0 0.0% 6
2009 10 0 0.0% 10
2008 10 0 0.0% 10
2007 12 5 41.7% 5
2006 9 2 22.2% 5
2005 9 1 11.1% 5
2004 8 3 37.5% 2
2003 9 3 33.3% 4
2002 7 3 42.9% 3
2001 7 4 57.1% 2
2000 7 2 28.6% 5
1999 5 0 0.0% 5
1998 6 1 16.7% 5
1997 6 1 16.7% 5
1996 6 1 16.7% 5
1995 6 2 33.3% 3
1994 7 0 0.0% 7
1993 7 2 28.6% 2
1992 9 1 11.1% 7
1991 8 2 25.0% 4
1990 6 0 0.0% 6
1989 6 2 33.3% 3
1988 6 1 16.7% 5
1987 6 2 33.3% 3
1986 6 2 33.3% 2
1985 6 2 33.3% 3
1984 8 2 25.0% 3
1983 9 3 33.3% 4
1982 7 2 28.6% 5
1981 8 3 37.5% 3
1980 6 0 0.0% 6
1979 8 2 25.0% 4
1978 6 1 16.7% 2
1977 9 5 55.6% 2
1976 8 1 12.5% 5
1975 6 2 33.3% 2
1974 6 0 0.0% 6
1973 6 1 16.7% 5
1972 4 1 25.0% 2
1971 8 2 25.0% 5
1970 4 3 75.0% 1
1969 7 2 28.6% 3
1968 3 1 33.3% 1
1967 3 1 33.3% 2
1966 6 1 16.7% 4
1965 8 1 12.5% 4
1964 5 0 0.0% 4
1963 4 1 25.0% 2
1962 7 0 0.0% 4
1961 6 2 33.3% 2
1960 4 0 0.0% 3
1959 2 1 50.0% 1
1958 10 5 50.0% 3
1957 7 2 28.6% 5
1956 3 2 66.7% 1
1955 4 0 0.0% 3
1954 5 0 0.0% 5
1953 5 1 20.0% 3
1952 3 0 0.0% 2
1951 5 1 20.0% 3
1950 3 1 33.3% 2
1949 7 0 0.0% 4
1948 3 0 0.0% 2
1947 3 0 0.0% 2
1946 2 0 0.0% 2
1945 1 0 0.0% 1
1939 2 0 0.0% 2
1938 3 0 0.0% 2
1937 3 0 0.0% 2
1936 4 0 0.0% 2
1935 2 1 50.0% 1
1934 2 0 0.0% 2
1933 4 2 50.0% 1
1932 3 1 33.3% 1
1931 4 0 0.0% 3
1930 3 1 33.3% 1
1929 3 1 33.3% 2
1928 3 0 0.0% 2
1927 4 3 75.0% 1
1926 3 0 0.0% 2
1925 4 1 25.0% 2
1924 3 0 0.0% 3
1923 3 1 33.3% 2
1922 2 0 0.0% 2
1921 3 1 33.3% 1
1920 3 2 66.7% 1
1914 3 1 33.3% 1
1913 3 1 33.3% 1
1912 3 0 0.0% 3
1911 3 1 33.3% 1
1910 3 0 0.0% 3
1909 3 0 0.0% 3
1908 3 0 0.0% 3
1907 3 1 33.3% 2
1906 3 1 33.3% 2
1905 3 1 33.3% 2
1904 3 2 66.7% 1
1903 3 0 0.0% 3
1902 3 1 33.3% 1
1901 3 1 33.3% 2
1900 3 1 33.3% 2
1899 3 0 0.0% 3
1898 3 0 0.0% 3
1897 3 1 33.3% 1
1896 3 0 0.0% 3
1895 3 3 100.0% 0
1894 3 0 0.0% 3
1893 2 0 0.0% 2
1892 3 1 33.3% 2
1891 3 0 0.0% 3
1890 3 0 0.0% 3
1889 3 1 33.3% 1
1888 3 0 0.0% 3
1887 3 0 0.0% 3
1886 3 0 0.0% 3
1885 3 1 33.3% 2
1884 3 0 0.0% 3
1883 3 1 33.3% 2
1882 3 0 0.0% 3
1881 2 0 0.0% 2
1880 2 0 0.0% 2
1879 2 0 0.0% 2
1878 1 0 0.0% 1
1877 1 0 0.0% 1
1876 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 04 Oct 2026 Wales 0–1 Denmark A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 01 Oct 2026 Wales 2–1 Norway H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 27 Sep 2026 Denmark 2–0 Wales H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 24 Sep 2026 Portugal 1–0 Wales H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Jun 2026 Romania 2–1 Wales H ITL · Friendly
☆ 02 Jun 2026 Wales 1–1 Ghana D ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland D ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2026 Wales 2–4(ft:1–1) Bosnia and Herzegovina D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 18 Nov 2025 Wales 7–1 North Macedonia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 15 Nov 2025 Liechtenstein 0–1 Wales A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2025 Wales 2–4 Belgium A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Oct 2025 England 3–0 Wales H ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Wales 0–1 Canada A ITL · Friendly
☆ 04 Sep 2025 Kazakhstan 0–1 Wales A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2025 Belgium 4–3 Wales H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Wales 3–0 Liechtenstein H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 25 Mar 2025 North Macedonia 1–1 Wales D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 22 Mar 2025 Wales 3–1 Kazakhstan H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Wales 4–1 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Turkey 0–0 Wales D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Wales 1–0 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Iceland 2–2 Wales D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Sep 2024 Montenegro 1–2 Wales A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Sep 2024 Wales 0–0 Turkey D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2024 Slovakia 4–0 Wales H ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2024 Gibraltar 0–0 Wales D ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Wales 4–5(ft:0–0) Poland D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Wales 4–1 Finland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 21 Nov 2023 Wales 1–1 Turkey D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 18 Nov 2023 Armenia 1–1 Wales D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 15 Oct 2023 Wales 2–1 Croatia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2023 Wales 4–0 Gibraltar H ITL · Friendly
☆ 11 Sep 2023 Latvia 0–2 Wales A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Wales 0–0 South Korea D ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Jun 2023 Turkey 2–0 Wales H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2023 Wales 2–4 Armenia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 28 Mar 2023 Wales 1–0 Latvia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 25 Mar 2023 Croatia 1–1 Wales D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 29 Nov 2022 Wales 0–3 England A ITL · FIFA World Cup
☆ 25 Nov 2022 Wales 0–2 Iran A ITL · FIFA World Cup
730 matches · page 1 / 19 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
☆ 14 Nov 17:00 Norway vs Wales – / – / – 19.6% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
☆ 17 Nov 19:45 Wales vs Portugal – / – / – 22.6% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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