ALB · National Team

Albania

Albania national football team
Played 404
Draw % 20.8%
No-draw N 16
Max streak 16 04 Sep 2025 → 06 Oct 2026
Avg top run 11.0 top 10
Draw debt E 3.01
p50 20.0%
p100 18.0%
Draw score 0.605 rank #27 Draws 84
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,682 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,753 reached 13 Nov 2025
Rank #79 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 402 last 6 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L D L W L L W D L L W D D W W W W W L L L L L W W W L W W

Over 120 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Albania drew 22 where the draw model expected 25.5 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 27.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
FIFA World Cup qualification 123 16 13.0%
Friendly 121 30 24.8%
UEFA Euro qualification 109 26 23.8%
UEFA Nations League 26 5 19.2%
Balkan Cup 10 2 20.0%
UEFA European Championship 6 1 16.7%
Malta International Tournament 6 2 33.3%
Prime Minister's Cup 3 2 66.7%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 10 0 0.0% 10
2025 10 2 20.0% 6
2024 13 2 15.4% 5
2023 9 3 33.3% 3
2022 11 5 45.5% 3
2021 12 1 8.3% 8
2020 7 2 28.6% 3
2019 10 1 10.0% 8
2018 9 1 11.1% 5
2017 9 1 11.1% 5
2016 12 1 8.3% 7
2015 8 3 37.5% 3
2014 9 2 22.2% 5
2013 10 3 30.0% 4
2012 9 2 22.2% 4
2011 11 2 18.2% 8
2010 9 3 33.3% 4
2009 9 4 44.4% 3
2008 7 3 42.9% 2
2007 11 4 36.4% 4
2006 6 2 33.3% 2
2005 10 1 10.0% 8
2004 8 1 12.5% 5
2003 11 1 9.1% 8
2002 9 4 44.4% 3
2001 7 0 0.0% 7
2000 8 1 12.5% 4
1999 8 2 25.0% 3
1998 8 4 50.0% 2
1997 7 0 0.0% 7
1996 5 2 40.0% 2
1995 8 2 25.0% 4
1994 5 0 0.0% 5
1993 7 1 14.3% 4
1992 6 1 16.7% 5
1991 5 0 0.0% 5
1990 4 0 0.0% 4
1989 5 1 20.0% 2
1988 4 1 25.0% 3
1987 4 0 0.0% 2
1986 2 0 0.0% 2
1985 4 2 50.0% 1
1984 3 1 33.3% 1
1983 5 1 20.0% 2
1982 3 1 33.3% 2
1981 4 0 0.0% 3
1980 4 0 0.0% 4
1976 1 0 0.0% 1
1973 5 1 20.0% 2
1972 2 0 0.0% 2
1971 4 1 25.0% 1
1970 2 0 0.0% 2
1967 4 1 25.0% 2
1965 4 1 25.0% 3
1964 2 0 0.0% 1
1963 2 0 0.0% 2
1958 1 1 100.0% 0
1957 1 0 0.0% 1
1953 1 0 0.0% 1
1952 1 0 0.0% 1
1950 4 1 25.0% 3
1949 4 2 50.0% 1
1948 3 2 66.7% 1
1947 4 0 0.0% 4
1946 4 0 0.0% 4
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Albania 2–1 San Marino H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Albania 2–1 San Marino Calcio H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 03 Oct 2026 Finland 2–1 Albania H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 San Marino 0–3 Albania A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 San Marino Calcio 0–3 Albania A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 Albania 2–0 Belarus H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Jun 2026 Albania 0–1 Luxembourg A ITL · Friendly
☆ 03 Jun 2026 Albania 0–1 Israel A ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Ukraine 1–0 Albania H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2026 Poland 2–1 Albania H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Albania 0–2 England A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Andorra 0–1 Albania A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Albania 4–2 Jordan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Serbia 0–1 Albania A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Albania 1–0 Latvia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 04 Sep 2025 Gibraltar 0–1 Albania A ITL · Friendly
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Latvia 1–1 Albania D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 07 Jun 2025 Albania 0–0 Serbia D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2025 Albania 3–0 Andorra H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2025 England 2–0 Albania H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Albania 1–2 Ukraine A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Albania 0–0 Czechia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Georgia 0–1 Albania A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Czechia 2–0 Albania H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Sep 2024 Albania 0–1 Georgia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Sep 2024 Ukraine 1–2 Albania A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 24 Jun 2024 Albania 0–1 Spain A ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 19 Jun 2024 Croatia 2–2 Albania D ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 15 Jun 2024 Italy 2–1 Albania H ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 07 Jun 2024 Albania 3–1 Azerbaijan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 03 Jun 2024 Albania 3–0 Liechtenstein H ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2024 Sweden 1–0 Albania H ITL · Friendly
☆ 22 Mar 2024 Albania 0–3 Chile A ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Nov 2023 Albania 0–0 Faroe Islands D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2023 Moldova 1–1 Albania D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 Albania 2–0 Bulgaria H ITL · Friendly
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Albania 3–0 Czechia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Albania 2–0 Poland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Czechia 1–1 Albania D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Faroe Islands 1–3 Albania A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
404 matches · page 1 / 11 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
☆ 12 Nov 19:45 Albania vs Finland – / – / – 26.9% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
☆ 15 Nov 17:00 Belarus vs Albania – / – / – 28.1% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.