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D McDermid

2005–2012 · 4 competitions
Matches 123
Draws 37
Draw % 30.1% +5.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 123 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2012), D McDermid drew 37 where the draw model expected 33.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 33.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 47 15 31.9%
ENG · League One 43 12 27.9%
ENG · Championship 22 9 40.9%
ENG · National League 11 1 9.1%
By season 6 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2011/12 15 6 40.0%
2010/11 25 9 36.0%
2009/10 29 8 27.6%
2007/08 24 6 25.0%
2006/07 19 7 36.8%
2005/06 11 1 9.1%
Latest matches last 50

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