☆
· ENG · Championship
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Cardiff City
Cardiff City
Played
2,010
Draw %
26.8%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
20
19 Jan 2019 → 21 Aug 2019
Avg top run
15.5
top 10
Draw debt E
1.06
p50
24.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.226
rank #651
Draws
538
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,720
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,828
reached 30 Mar 2018
Rank
#253
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
2,010
last 13 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 590 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Cardiff City drew 143 where the draw model expected 160.4 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 157.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 20
19 Jan 2019 → 21 Aug 2019
2 19
20 Sep 2025 → 29 Dec 2025
3 18
05 Nov 1996 → 11 Feb 1997
4 16
24 Feb 2024 → 17 Aug 2024
5 16
28 Aug 2018 → 22 Dec 2018
6 16
25 Aug 2012 → 24 Nov 2012
7 14
29 Dec 2001 → 02 Mar 2002
8 13
25 Nov 2020 → 20 Jan 2021
9 12
21 Aug 2021 → 23 Oct 2021
10 11
12 Aug 2023 → 03 Oct 2023
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 19 Jan 2019 → 21 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 20 Sep 2025 → 29 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 05 Nov 1996 → 11 Feb 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 24 Feb 2024 → 17 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 28 Aug 2018 → 22 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 25 Aug 2012 → 24 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 29 Dec 2001 → 02 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 25 Nov 2020 → 20 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 21 Aug 2021 → 23 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 12 Aug 2023 → 03 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 930 | 263 | 28.3% | 4 | 16 |
| League One | 276 | 79 | 28.6% | 4 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 264 | 69 | 26.1% | 1 | 6 |
| League Two | 230 | 71 | 30.9% | 3 | 16 |
| League Cup | 170 | 26 | 15.3% | 2 | 6 |
| Premier League | 76 | 13 | 17.1% | 16 | 16 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FA Community Shield | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2025 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 19 |
| 2024 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 16 |
| 2023 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2022 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2019 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 20 |
| 2018 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 16 |
| 2017 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 2015 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 5 |
| 2012 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 16 |
| 2011 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 5 |
| 2010 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2008 | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 2007 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2006 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 6 |
| 2005 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2004 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2003 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 13 |
| 2001 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 9 |
| 1999 | 57 | 24 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 1998 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 1997 | 51 | 22 | 43.1% | 7 |
| 1996 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 11 |
| 1995 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 1994 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 10 |
| 1993 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% | 6 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1988 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1987 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1986 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1976 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 1 |
| 1972 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1968 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1967 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1964 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1925 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1924 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1923 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1921 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
2,010 matches · page 1 / 51
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 11:30 |
Middlesbrough
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Cardiff City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 19:45 |
Cardiff City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Cardiff City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 12:30 |
Norwich City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.