☆
· ENG · League Two
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Rotherham United
Rotherham United
Played
1,958
Draw %
26.4%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
16
23 Oct 2015 → 16 Jan 2016
Avg top run
14.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.54
p50
30.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.160
rank #1,008
Draws
517
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,454
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,769
reached 26 Feb 2022
Rank
#13,697
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,958
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 573 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Rotherham United drew 136 where the draw model expected 153.4 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 153.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 16
17 Apr 2018 → 22 Sep 2018
2 16
05 Aug 2017 → 17 Oct 2017
3 16
05 Nov 2016 → 04 Feb 2017
4 16
23 Oct 2015 → 16 Jan 2016
5 14
27 Jan 2021 → 05 Apr 2021
6 14
08 Dec 2012 → 19 Feb 2013
7 13
28 Sep 2019 → 07 Dec 2019
8 13
19 Feb 2005 → 30 Apr 2005
9 13
27 Jan 2001 → 07 Apr 2001
10 12
27 Feb 2010 → 13 Apr 2010
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 17 Apr 2018 → 22 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 05 Aug 2017 → 17 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 05 Nov 2016 → 04 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 23 Oct 2015 → 16 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 27 Jan 2021 → 05 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 08 Dec 2012 → 19 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 28 Sep 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Feb 2005 → 30 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 27 Jan 2001 → 07 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 27 Feb 2010 → 13 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 587 | 150 | 25.6% | 1 | 14 |
| Championship | 506 | 150 | 29.6% | 2 | 15 |
| League Two | 424 | 116 | 27.4% | 2 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 239 | 59 | 24.7% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 192 | 39 | 20.3% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2025 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 14 |
| 2020 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 16 |
| 2017 | 51 | 7 | 13.7% | 16 |
| 2016 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2015 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2014 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 8 |
| 2013 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2011 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2010 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 2009 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 11 |
| 2006 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 13 |
| 2004 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 6 |
| 2001 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 13 |
| 2000 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 1999 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 7 |
| 1997 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 1996 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1995 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 12 |
| 1994 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 8 |
| 1993 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1991 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1989 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1988 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1987 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1986 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1971 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1970 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1969 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1968 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1967 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1964 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 1960 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
1,958 matches · page 1 / 49
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 11:30 |
Fleetwood Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Oct 18:45 |
Rotherham United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Rotherham United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Swindon Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.2% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Rotherham United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Grimsby Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.