☆
· ENG · League One
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Stevenage
Stevenage
Played
1,065
Draw %
26.7%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
20
01 Jan 2010 → 24 Apr 2010
Avg top run
14.5
top 10
Draw debt E
1.07
p50
28.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.231
rank #634
Draws
284
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,641
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,684
reached 24 Apr 2010
Rank
#425
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,065
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 580 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stevenage drew 167 where the draw model expected 164.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 155.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 20
08 Dec 2012 → 24 Mar 2013
2 20
01 Jan 2010 → 24 Apr 2010
3 16
19 Nov 2016 → 14 Feb 2017
4 16
01 Mar 2008 → 12 Aug 2008
5 15
14 Sep 2013 → 07 Dec 2013
6 13
26 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014
7 12
27 Jan 2026 → 21 Mar 2026
8 11
16 Aug 2022 → 08 Oct 2022
9 11
19 Feb 2011 → 02 Apr 2011
10 11
10 Feb 2007 → 03 Apr 2007
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 08 Dec 2012 → 24 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 01 Jan 2010 → 24 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 19 Nov 2016 → 14 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 01 Mar 2008 → 12 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 14 Sep 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 27 Jan 2026 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 16 Aug 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 19 Feb 2011 → 02 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 10 Feb 2007 → 03 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 450 | 130 | 28.9% | 6 | 16 |
| League One | 284 | 78 | 27.5% | 4 | 20 |
| National League | 224 | 50 | 22.3% | 20 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 74 | 20 | 27.0% | 1 | 4 |
| League Cup | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2025 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 9 |
| 2019 | 47 | 17 | 36.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2016 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2014 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 17 |
| 2012 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 20 |
| 2009 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 16 |
| 2007 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2006 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2005 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1997 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
1,065 matches · page 1 / 27
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Bradford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Oct 18:45 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Notts County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.