☆
· ENG · Championship
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Watford
Watford
Played
1,993
Draw %
25.6%
No-draw N
7
Max streak
22
01 Nov 2014 → 03 Mar 2015
Avg top run
14.4
top 10
Draw debt E
1.97
p50
30.0%
p100
27.0%
Draw score
0.346
rank #313
Draws
510
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,586
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,905
reached 2 Apr 2019
Rank
#601
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,993
last 13 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 559 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Watford drew 131 where the draw model expected 145.5 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 145.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 22
01 Nov 2014 → 03 Mar 2015
2 17
09 May 1999 → 31 Oct 1999
3 14
09 Apr 2021 → 21 Sep 2021
4 14
19 Apr 2014 → 16 Sep 2014
5 13
02 Oct 2021 → 08 Jan 2022
6 13
03 Jan 2009 → 10 Mar 2009
7 13
23 Apr 1996 → 17 Sep 1996
8 13
01 Apr 1995 → 29 Aug 1995
9 13
10 Jan 1984 → 26 Jan 1985
10 12
04 Mar 2017 → 21 May 2017
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 01 Nov 2014 → 03 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 09 May 1999 → 31 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Apr 2021 → 21 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 19 Apr 2014 → 16 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 02 Oct 2021 → 08 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 03 Jan 2009 → 10 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 23 Apr 1996 → 17 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 01 Apr 1995 → 29 Aug 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 10 Jan 1984 → 26 Jan 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 04 Mar 2017 → 21 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1068 | 292 | 27.3% | 7 | 21 |
| FA Cup | 308 | 67 | 21.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Premier League | 304 | 66 | 21.7% | 2 | 13 |
| League Cup | 192 | 43 | 22.4% | 2 | 6 |
| League One | 92 | 35 | 38.0% | 2 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 11 |
| 2023 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2021 | 46 | 4 | 8.7% | 14 |
| 2020 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 6 |
| 2017 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 12 |
| 2016 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 12 |
| 2014 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 14 |
| 2013 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2012 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 2008 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 9 |
| 2006 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2004 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 10 |
| 2003 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2000 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 1999 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 17 |
| 1998 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 1997 | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 8 |
| 1996 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 13 |
| 1995 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 13 |
| 1994 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 1993 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1987 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1985 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1984 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 1983 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1977 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1970 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1931 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
1,993 matches · page 1 / 50
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 11:30 |
Watford
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 12:30 |
Norwich City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.8% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 03 Nov 19:45 |
Watford
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Watford
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Sheffield United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.