Colin Webster
Over 361 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2012), Colin Webster drew 99 where the draw model expected 100.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 98.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 144 | 45 | 31.3% |
| ENG · League One | 119 | 26 | 21.8% |
| ENG · League Two | 98 | 28 | 28.6% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011/12 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2010/11 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2009/10 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% |
| 2008/09 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% |
| 2007/08 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% |
| 2006/07 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| 2005/06 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% |
| 2004/05 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% |
| 2003/04 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2002/03 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% |
| 2001/02 | 27 | 12 | 44.4% |
| 2000/01 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Apr 2012 | Barnsley | 0–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2012 | Ipswich Town | 0–3 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Apr 2012 | Rotherham United | 1–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Mar 2012 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–3 | Birmingham City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Mar 2012 | Middlesbrough | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Mar 2012 | Hartlepool United | 0–1 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Mar 2012 | Watford | 0–0 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Mar 2012 | Bradford City | 2–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Mar 2012 | Carlisle United | 2–1 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Feb 2012 | Chesterfield | 0–4 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 25 Feb 2012 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Feb 2012 | Morecambe | 1–0 | Macclesfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Feb 2012 | Burnley | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2012 | Huddersfield Town | 3–2 | Brentford | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Jan 2012 | Rochdale | 1–5 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 31 Dec 2011 | Leicester City | 1–1 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2011 | Barnsley | 1–3 | Blackpool | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Dec 2011 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Reading | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Dec 2011 | Morecambe | 0–0 | Oxford United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Nov 2011 | West Ham United | 3–1 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Nov 2011 | Birmingham City | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Nov 2011 | Accrington Stanley | 2–1 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Oct 2011 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Oct 2011 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–1 | Walsall | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Oct 2011 | Preston North End | 2–4 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Oct 2011 | Hull City | 2–1 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Sep 2011 | Derby County | 3–0 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Sep 2011 | Blackpool | 2–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Sep 2011 | Oldham Athletic | 1–1 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2011 | Bury | 2–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Aug 2011 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 07 May 2011 | Burnley | 1–1 | Cardiff City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Apr 2011 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–1 | Hull City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Apr 2011 | Doncaster Rovers | 0–0 | Crystal Palace | D | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Apr 2011 | Accrington Stanley | 0–0 | Oxford United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Mar 2011 | Crewe Alexandra | 4–1 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2011 | Notts County | 2–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League One |
| 12 Feb 2011 | Derby County | 0–2 | Leicester City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Feb 2011 | Carlisle United | 1–3 | Walsall | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Jan 2011 | Coventry City | 0–0 | Sheffield United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Jan 2011 | Stockport County | 1–5 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Jan 2011 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Bury | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2011 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Middlesbrough | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2010 | Barnsley | 1–2 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Dec 2010 | Hull City | 2–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Dec 2010 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6–2 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 23 Nov 2010 | Stockport County | 0–5 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Nov 2010 | Cardiff City | 0–2 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Nov 2010 | Derby County | 2–0 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |