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B Madden

2011–2023 · 4 competitions
Matches 239
Draws 50
Draw % 20.9% -3.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 239 matches (Feb 2011 – Apr 2023), B Madden drew 50 where the draw model expected 58.8 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 58.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 197 36 18.3%
SCO · Scottish Championship 22 5 22.7%
ENG · League One 11 2 18.2%
ENG · League Two 9 7 77.8%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2022/23 20 9 45.0%
2021/22 23 8 34.8%
2020/21 21 6 28.6%
2019/20 17 3 17.6%
2018/19 28 5 17.9%
2017/18 27 5 18.5%
2016/17 17 3 17.6%
2015/16 22 2 9.1%
2014/15 21 2 9.5%
2013/14 24 4 16.7%
2011/12 14 1 7.1%
2010/11 5 2 40.0%
Latest matches last 50

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