☆
· ENG · National League
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
Played
402
Draw %
23.4%
No-draw N
11
Max streak
14
26 Jan 2021 → 27 Mar 2021
Avg top run
11.4
top 10
Draw debt E
1.89
p50
16.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.495
rank #95
Draws
94
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2019)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,486
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,569
reached 6 Oct 2018
Rank
#7,579
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
402
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 396 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), Harrogate Town drew 90 where the draw model expected 107.1 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 105.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 14
07 Mar 2026 → 15 Aug 2026
2 14
26 Jan 2021 → 27 Mar 2021
3 13
19 Aug 2025 → 08 Nov 2025
4 12
22 Oct 2024 → 26 Dec 2024
5 12
22 Mar 2022 → 09 Aug 2022
6 11
28 Aug 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
7 10
23 Sep 2023 → 11 Nov 2023
8 10
21 Nov 2020 → 09 Jan 2021
9 9
05 Aug 2023 → 09 Sep 2023
10 9
30 Nov 2019 → 25 Jan 2020
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 07 Mar 2026 → 15 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 26 Jan 2021 → 27 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 19 Aug 2025 → 08 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 22 Oct 2024 → 26 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 22 Mar 2022 → 09 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 28 Aug 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 23 Sep 2023 → 11 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 21 Nov 2020 → 09 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 05 Aug 2023 → 09 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 30 Nov 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 276 | 68 | 24.6% | 11 | 14 |
| National League | 97 | 21 | 21.7% | 11 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| League Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 14 |
| 2025 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 13 |
| 2024 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2023 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2020 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 8 |
| 2012 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
402 matches · page 1 / 11
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 11:30 |
Harrogate Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.1% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 19:45 |
Carlisle United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 12:30 |
Forest Green Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.8% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Harrogate Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Worthing
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.