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· SCO · Scottish Championship
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
Played
1,231
Draw %
26.6%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
18
10 Aug 2002 → 30 Nov 2002
Avg top run
13.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.93
p50
34.0%
p100
29.0%
Draw score
0.212
rank #708
Draws
327
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,664
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,804
reached 30 May 2015
Rank
#363
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,231
last 13 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 503 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Inverness Caledonian Thistle drew 144 where the draw model expected 126.4 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 120.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 18
10 Aug 2002 → 30 Nov 2002
2 16
21 Oct 2007 → 20 Jan 2008
3 15
26 Apr 2025 → 04 Oct 2025
4 14
09 Nov 2024 → 22 Feb 2025
5 14
23 Mar 2010 → 28 Aug 2010
6 13
26 Oct 2019 → 25 Jan 2020
7 13
05 May 2007 → 29 Sep 2007
8 12
31 Aug 2013 → 30 Nov 2013
9 12
20 Feb 2008 → 10 May 2008
10 12
13 Oct 2001 → 22 Dec 2001
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 10 Aug 2002 → 30 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 21 Oct 2007 → 20 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 26 Apr 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 09 Nov 2024 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 23 Mar 2010 → 28 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Oct 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 05 May 2007 → 29 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 31 Aug 2013 → 30 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 20 Feb 2008 → 10 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 13 Oct 2001 → 22 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 460 | 128 | 27.8% | 3 | 16 |
| Scottish Premiership | 456 | 123 | 27.0% | 8 | 14 |
| Scottish League One | 144 | 40 | 27.8% | 1 | 13 |
| Scottish League Cup | 86 | 17 | 19.8% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 82 | 18 | 22.0% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 15 | 44.1% | 3 |
| 2025 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 15 |
| 2024 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 10 |
| 2022 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2012 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 3 |
| 2011 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2009 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2007 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 13 |
| 2006 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2005 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2004 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2003 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 18 |
| 2001 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 12 |
| 2000 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 1997 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
Matches
all results ›
1,231 matches · page 1 / 31
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Raith Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Partick Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 19:30 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.