☆
· SCO · Scottish Championship
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Ayr United
Ayr United
Played
1,229
Draw %
24.3%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
33
14 Nov 2015 → 20 Aug 2016
Avg top run
15.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
32.0%
p100
27.0%
Draw score
0.082
rank #1,684
Draws
299
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2001)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,615
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,766
reached 1 Feb 2025
Rank
#491
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,229
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 494 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Ayr United drew 119 where the draw model expected 122.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 33
14 Nov 2015 → 20 Aug 2016
2 18
16 Feb 2013 → 17 Aug 2013
3 15
03 Aug 2019 → 07 Dec 2019
4 14
18 Jul 2023 → 28 Oct 2023
5 13
20 Jan 2024 → 06 Apr 2024
6 13
17 Mar 2018 → 04 Aug 2018
7 13
21 Oct 2017 → 06 Jan 2018
8 12
18 Aug 2018 → 03 Nov 2018
9 12
29 Apr 2017 → 09 Sep 2017
10 12
29 Jan 2011 → 29 Mar 2011
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 14 Nov 2015 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 16 Feb 2013 → 17 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 03 Aug 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 18 Jul 2023 → 28 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 20 Jan 2024 → 06 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 17 Mar 2018 → 04 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 21 Oct 2017 → 06 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 18 Aug 2018 → 03 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 29 Apr 2017 → 09 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 29 Jan 2011 → 29 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 676 | 195 | 28.8% | 0 | 15 |
| Scottish League One | 396 | 76 | 19.2% | 8 | 23 |
| Scottish League Cup | 83 | 10 | 12.0% | 5 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 72 | 17 | 23.6% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2024 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2023 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 14 |
| 2022 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 5 |
| 2020 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 15 |
| 2018 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2017 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 12 |
| 2016 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 26 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 10 |
| 2013 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 18 |
| 2012 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2011 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2010 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2009 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 5 |
| 2008 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2006 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2005 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2003 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2002 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 6 |
| 2001 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2000 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 1998 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 1997 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 5 |
| 1995 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 1994 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
Matches
all results ›
1,229 matches · page 1 / 31
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Oct 18:30 |
Ayr United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Greenock Morton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Ayr United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Arbroath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Ayr United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 19:30 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.