☆
· SCO · Scottish Premiership
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Hibernian
Hibernian FC
Played
1,466
Draw %
25.6%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
21
24 Nov 1998 → 08 May 1999
Avg top run
16.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.26
p50
22.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.112
rank #1,433
Draws
375
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,813
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,876
reached 17 Aug 2025
Rank
#131
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,466
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 546 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Hibernian drew 144 where the draw model expected 125.9 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 126.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 21
24 Nov 1998 → 08 May 1999
2 19
27 Aug 2005 → 26 Dec 2005
3 19
12 May 2002 → 23 Nov 2002
4 18
04 Apr 2026 → 15 Sep 2026
5 18
07 Feb 2015 → 18 Jul 2015
6 17
27 Aug 2022 → 08 Jan 2023
7 14
26 Apr 2016 → 17 Sep 2016
8 14
21 Oct 1995 → 13 Jan 1996
9 12
29 Sep 2012 → 15 Dec 2012
10 11
29 Dec 2018 → 02 Mar 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 24 Nov 1998 → 08 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 27 Aug 2005 → 26 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 12 May 2002 → 23 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 04 Apr 2026 → 15 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 07 Feb 2015 → 18 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 27 Aug 2022 → 08 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 26 Apr 2016 → 17 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 21 Oct 1995 → 13 Jan 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 29 Sep 2012 → 15 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Dec 2018 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 1054 | 297 | 28.2% | 1 | 19 |
| Scottish Championship | 144 | 33 | 22.9% | 0 | 21 |
| Scottish League Cup | 85 | 10 | 11.8% | 2 | 7 |
| Scottish Cup | 84 | 15 | 17.9% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 18 |
| 2025 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 15 |
| 2021 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2018 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2017 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 14 |
| 2015 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 18 |
| 2014 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2013 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2012 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2011 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2010 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2009 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 9 |
| 2008 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2007 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 19 |
| 2004 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2003 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 19 |
| 2001 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 10 |
| 2000 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 1998 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 1997 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1996 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 1995 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 1994 | 19 | 11 | 57.9% | 3 |
| 1992 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1968 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1967 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
1,466 matches · page 1 / 37
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Premiership
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Premiership
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Premiership
Sun, 01 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish League Cup
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Premiership
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Premiership
Tue, 24 Nov 2026
☆
SCO · Scottish Premiership
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Hibernian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 12:00 |
Hibernian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 19:45 |
St Mirren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 15:00 |
Heart of Midlothian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 17:45 |
Aberdeen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Hibernian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 19:45 |
Hibernian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.