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Match official

A Bates

2001–2012 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: A. Bates, Bates, A.
Matches 305
Draws 93
Draw % 30.5% +6.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 305 matches (Aug 2001 – Apr 2012), A Bates drew 93 where the draw model expected 84.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 83.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 133 40 30.1%
ENG · League One 88 27 30.7%
ENG · League Two 84 26 31.0%
By season 11 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2011/12 33 8 24.2%
2010/11 35 13 37.1%
2009/10 26 8 30.8%
2008/09 31 12 38.7%
2007/08 30 10 33.3%
2006/07 33 12 36.4%
2005/06 32 8 25.0%
2004/05 11 2 18.2%
2003/04 21 4 19.0%
2002/03 24 6 25.0%
2001/02 29 10 34.5%
Latest matches last 50

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