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Match official

L Smith

2019–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 181
Draws 54
Draw % 29.8% +5.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 181 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), L Smith drew 54 where the draw model expected 48.5 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 47.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 69 25 36.2%
ENG · Championship 54 11 20.4%
ENG · League Two 26 10 38.5%
ENG · League One 21 5 23.8%
ENG · Premier League 11 3 27.3%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 12 1 8.3%
2025/26 27 7 25.9%
2024/25 32 11 34.4%
2023/24 34 7 20.6%
2022/23 30 7 23.3%
2021/22 16 8 50.0%
2020/21 14 4 28.6%
2019/20 16 9 56.3%
Latest matches last 50

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