☆
· ENG · National League
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Wealdstone
Wealdstone
Played
312
Draw %
23.7%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
15
10 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026
Avg top run
9.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.46
p50
22.0%
p100
24.0%
Draw score
0.163
rank #984
Draws
74
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,366
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,500
reached 26 Nov 1949
Rank
#14,542
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
312
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 290 matches (Nov 2015 – Oct 2026), Wealdstone drew 69 where the draw model expected 73.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
10 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026
2 12
26 Mar 2024 → 20 Aug 2024
3 11
26 Apr 2025 → 06 Sep 2025
4 9
05 Apr 2021 → 11 May 2021
5 8
24 Sep 2022 → 01 Nov 2022
6 8
27 Feb 2021 → 30 Mar 2021
7 8
10 Oct 2020 → 17 Nov 2020
8 7
04 Feb 2025 → 08 Mar 2025
9 7
28 Feb 2023 → 25 Mar 2023
10 7
07 May 2022 → 27 Aug 2022
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 26 Mar 2024 → 20 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 Apr 2025 → 06 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 05 Apr 2021 → 11 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 24 Sep 2022 → 01 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 Feb 2021 → 30 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 10 Oct 2020 → 17 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 04 Feb 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 28 Feb 2023 → 25 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 07 May 2022 → 27 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 283 | 69 | 24.4% | 2 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 15 |
| 2025 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 12 |
| 2023 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
312 matches · page 1 / 8
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Aldershot Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:45 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Hartlepool United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Wealdstone
|
vs | AFC Hornchurch | – / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 19:45 |
Altrincham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.