☆
· ENG · National League
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
758
Draw %
24.3%
No-draw N
7
Max streak
17
01 Nov 2025 → 21 Feb 2026
Avg top run
11.7
top 10
Draw debt E
1.11
p50
14.0%
p100
17.0%
Draw score
0.313
rank #380
Draws
184
Trophies
🥉 1 × Third
(2013)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,284
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,571
reached 9 Nov 2014
Rank
#14,586
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
758
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 419 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Gateshead drew 99 where the draw model expected 108.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 106.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
01 Nov 2025 → 21 Feb 2026
2 14
27 Aug 2018 → 10 Nov 2018
3 13
05 Mar 2024 → 17 Aug 2024
4 12
16 Apr 2016 → 20 Aug 2016
5 11
04 Mar 2025 → 26 Apr 2025
6 11
01 Apr 2017 → 19 Aug 2017
7 11
31 Aug 2013 → 19 Oct 2013
8 10
06 Apr 2026 → 31 Aug 2026
9 9
06 Apr 2015 → 18 Aug 2015
10 9
01 Jan 2013 → 09 Mar 2013
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 Nov 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 27 Aug 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Mar 2024 → 17 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 16 Apr 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 04 Mar 2025 → 26 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 01 Apr 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 31 Aug 2013 → 19 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Apr 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 06 Apr 2015 → 18 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Jan 2013 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 655 | 170 | 26.0% | 7 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 97 | 14 | 14.4% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 10 |
| 2025 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2024 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 13 |
| 2023 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2018 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2016 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 12 |
| 2015 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 9 |
| 2011 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1951 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
758 matches · page 1 / 19
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 18:45 |
Gateshead
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:45 |
Boston United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Aldershot Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Gateshead
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Gateshead
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.