☆
· ENG · National League
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Altrincham
Altrincham
Played
729
Draw %
24.6%
No-draw N
19
Max streak
19
03 Apr 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
Avg top run
12.5
top 10
Draw debt E
2.96
p50
12.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.609
rank #25
Draws
179
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,469
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,544
reached 18 Feb 2025
Rank
#12,091
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
729
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 358 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Altrincham drew 83 where the draw model expected 93.0 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 90.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
03 Apr 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
2 18
06 Jan 2024 → 01 Apr 2024
3 14
11 Apr 2006 → 16 Sep 2006
4 13
09 Aug 2025 → 01 Oct 2025
5 13
02 Mar 2007 → 21 Apr 2007
6 11
01 Nov 2025 → 17 Jan 2026
7 10
31 Oct 2020 → 12 Dec 2020
8 9
15 Feb 2025 → 22 Mar 2025
9 9
21 Aug 2021 → 09 Oct 2021
10 9
23 Jan 2021 → 02 Mar 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 03 Apr 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 06 Jan 2024 → 01 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 Apr 2006 → 16 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 09 Aug 2025 → 01 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 02 Mar 2007 → 21 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 01 Nov 2025 → 17 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 31 Oct 2020 → 12 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 15 Feb 2025 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 21 Aug 2021 → 09 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 Jan 2021 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 647 | 161 | 24.9% | 19 | 19 |
| FA Cup | 81 | 17 | 21.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 4 | 11.4% | 19 |
| 2025 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 18 |
| 2023 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 5 |
| 2021 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 13 |
| 2006 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2005 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
729 matches · page 1 / 19
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Yeovil Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:45 |
Altrincham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Altrincham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Harrogate Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 12:30 |
Solihull Moors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.