▦ FDB4
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Match official

J Miles

2020–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 112
Draws 27
Draw % 24.1% -0.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 112 matches (Nov 2020 – Aug 2026), J Miles drew 27 where the draw model expected 29.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 29.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 51 12 23.5%
ENG · League One 32 8 25.0%
ENG · League Two 26 6 23.1%
ENG · Championship 3 1 33.3%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 1 0 0.0%
2025/26 22 5 22.7%
2024/25 29 5 17.2%
2023/24 14 6 42.9%
2022/23 15 4 26.7%
2021/22 18 4 22.2%
2020/21 13 3 23.1%
Latest matches last 50

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