☆
· ENG · National League
Team ☆
all results ›
ENG · Club
Eastleigh
Eastleigh
Played
578
Draw %
27.0%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
19
29 Dec 2018 → 22 Apr 2019
Avg top run
11.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.83
p50
24.0%
p100
30.0%
Draw score
0.210
rank #719
Draws
156
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,329
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,588
reached 19 Dec 2015
Rank
#14,567
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
578
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 550 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Eastleigh drew 149 where the draw model expected 144.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 139.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
29 Dec 2018 → 22 Apr 2019
2 14
10 Apr 2018 → 04 Sep 2018
3 12
08 Oct 2022 → 10 Dec 2022
4 11
21 Mar 2015 → 11 Aug 2015
5 10
29 Mar 2024 → 24 Aug 2024
6 10
05 Oct 2021 → 11 Dec 2021
7 9
21 Feb 2026 → 28 Mar 2026
8 9
23 Sep 2023 → 04 Nov 2023
9 9
26 Feb 2022 → 15 Apr 2022
10 9
06 Feb 2016 → 15 Mar 2016
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 29 Dec 2018 → 22 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 10 Apr 2018 → 04 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 08 Oct 2022 → 10 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 21 Mar 2015 → 11 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 29 Mar 2024 → 24 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 05 Oct 2021 → 11 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 21 Feb 2026 → 28 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 23 Sep 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 26 Feb 2022 → 15 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Feb 2016 → 15 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 552 | 149 | 27.0% | 3 | 19 |
| FA Cup | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 18 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 14 |
| 2017 | 48 | 19 | 39.6% | 6 |
| 2016 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2014 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 6 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
578 matches · page 1 / 15
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 11:30 |
Eastleigh
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 19:45 |
Forest Green Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Barrow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Eastleigh
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 12:30 |
Tamworth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.