What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 106 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Cyprus drew 18 where the draw model expected 20.1 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 24.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 27 May 2014 → 13 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 25 Mar 2024 → 24 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 09 Feb 2005 → 01 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 03 Feb 1971 → 10 May 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 19 Aug 1998 → 28 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 13 Nov 1991 → 14 Oct 1992 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 17 Jun 2023 → 19 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 27 Mar 2021 → 08 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 03 Jun 2017 → 13 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 02 May 1984 → 07 May 1985 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 132 | 17 | 12.9% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 123 | 15 | 12.2% | 8 | 10 |
| Friendly | 116 | 30 | 25.9% | 1 | 5 |
| Cyprus International Tournament | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Nations League | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2019 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2012 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2011 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2008 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 4 |
| 2006 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2004 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1999 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1995 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1993 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1992 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1991 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1983 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 16:00 | Cyprus | vs | Armenia | – / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 16:00 | Cyprus | vs | Latvia | – / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.