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KAZ · National Team
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan national football team
Played
273
Draw %
22.7%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
19
13 Jun 2022 → 11 Jun 2024
Avg top run
10.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
14.0%
p100
20.0%
Draw score
0.058
rank #1,905
Draws
62
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,505
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,691
reached 18 Oct 1997
Rank
#190
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
273
last 6 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 110 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Kazakhstan drew 24 where the draw model expected 22.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
13 Jun 2022 → 11 Jun 2024
2 16
06 Feb 2008 → 03 Mar 2010
3 13
09 Sep 2024 → 10 Oct 2025
4 13
21 Feb 2004 → 07 Sep 2005
5 9
20 Mar 2000 → 07 Oct 2000
6 8
09 Oct 2021 → 06 Jun 2022
7 8
16 Oct 2012 → 10 Sep 2013
8 7
11 Nov 2016 → 05 Oct 2017
9 6
19 Nov 2018 → 11 Jun 2019
10 6
06 Jun 1997 → 12 Sep 1997
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 Jun 2022 → 11 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 06 Feb 2008 → 03 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 09 Sep 2024 → 10 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 21 Feb 2004 → 07 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 20 Mar 2000 → 07 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 09 Oct 2021 → 06 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Oct 2012 → 10 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 11 Nov 2016 → 05 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 19 Nov 2018 → 11 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 06 Jun 1997 → 12 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 82 | 23 | 28.1% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 76 | 16 | 21.1% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 11 | 11 |
| UEFA Nations League | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 0 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Asian Games | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Cyprus International Tournament | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 1 |
| East Asian Games | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| King's Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| WAFF Championship | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2025 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2019 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2015 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2014 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2012 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2011 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2010 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2007 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2006 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2005 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2000 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1996 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
273 matches · page 1 / 7
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 13 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Nov 17:00 | Moldova | vs | Kazakhstan | – / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Mon, 16 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Nov 15:00 | Kazakhstan | vs | Slovakia | – / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.