UKR ยท National Team

Ukraine

Ukraine national football team
Played 342
Draw % 27.8%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 11 11 Oct 2013 โ†’ 15 Nov 2014
Avg top run 8.5 top 10
Draw debt E 0.50
p50 22.0%
p100 27.0%
Draw score 0.183 rank #856 Draws 95
Team strength ยท Elo all ratings โ€บ
Rating 1,729 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,951 reached 14 Nov 2019
Rank #70 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 342 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form ยท draws highlighted
D L W L W D L L W D D W W L L W L D W W L W L W W L W D L L

Over 125 matches (Mar 2015 โ€“ Oct 2026), Ukraine drew 32 where the draw model expected 28.1 from those particular fixtures โ€” about 4 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 29.0 instead โ€” "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page โ€บ
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 128 38 29.7%
FIFA World Cup qualification 87 29 33.3%
UEFA Euro qualification 72 19 26.4%
UEFA Nations League 28 5 17.9%
UEFA European Championship 14 1 7.1%
Cyprus International Tournament 6 2 33.3%
FIFA World Cup 5 1 20.0%
Canadian Shield 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 1 12.5% 5
2025 10 1 10.0% 5
2024 14 4 28.6% 4
2023 9 3 33.3% 3
2022 8 2 25.0% 4
2021 18 9 50.0% 7
2020 8 0 0.0% 8
2019 10 3 30.0% 4
2018 10 4 40.0% 3
2017 8 0 0.0% 8
2016 12 2 16.7% 7
2015 10 3 30.0% 3
2014 8 1 12.5% 7
2013 12 2 16.7% 4
2012 12 3 25.0% 7
2011 12 3 25.0% 8
2010 9 4 44.4% 3
2009 12 3 25.0% 3
2008 9 2 22.2% 6
2007 11 3 27.3% 4
2006 14 3 21.4% 5
2005 10 3 30.0% 4
2004 10 4 40.0% 2
2003 10 4 40.0% 5
2002 10 3 30.0% 6
2001 13 7 53.8% 3
2000 5 0 0.0% 5
1999 11 7 63.6% 1
1998 5 0 0.0% 5
1997 9 3 33.3% 3
1996 6 1 16.7% 5
1995 7 0 0.0% 7
1994 9 3 33.3% 3
1993 6 1 16.7% 5
1992 4 2 50.0% 1
1979 2 1 50.0% 1
1928 1 0 0.0% 1
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
โ˜† 05 Oct 2026 Ukraine 1โ€“2 Hungary A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 02 Oct 2026 Ukraine 0โ€“3 Northern Ireland A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 28 Sep 2026 Georgia 0โ€“0 Ukraine D ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 25 Sep 2026 Hungary 0โ€“1 Ukraine A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 07 Jun 2026 Denmark 2โ€“1 Ukraine H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 31 May 2026 Poland 0โ€“2 Ukraine A ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 31 Mar 2026 Ukraine 1โ€“0 Albania H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 26 Mar 2026 Ukraine 1โ€“3 Sweden A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 16 Nov 2025 Ukraine 2โ€“0 Iceland H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 13 Nov 2025 France 4โ€“0 Ukraine H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 13 Oct 2025 Ukraine 2โ€“1 Azerbaijan H ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 10 Oct 2025 Iceland 3โ€“5 Ukraine A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 09 Sep 2025 Azerbaijan 1โ€“1 Ukraine D ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 05 Sep 2025 Ukraine 0โ€“2 France A ITL ยท FIFA World Cup qualification
โ˜† 10 Jun 2025 New Zealand 1โ€“2 Ukraine A ITL ยท Canadian Shield
โ˜† 07 Jun 2025 Canada 4โ€“2 Ukraine H ITL ยท Canadian Shield
โ˜† 23 Mar 2025 Belgium 3โ€“0 Ukraine H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 20 Mar 2025 Ukraine 3โ€“1 Belgium H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 19 Nov 2024 Albania 1โ€“2 Ukraine A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 16 Nov 2024 Georgia 1โ€“1 Ukraine D ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 14 Oct 2024 Ukraine 1โ€“1 Czechia D ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 11 Oct 2024 Ukraine 1โ€“0 Georgia H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 10 Sep 2024 Czechia 3โ€“2 Ukraine H ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 07 Sep 2024 Ukraine 1โ€“2 Albania A ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
โ˜† 26 Jun 2024 Ukraine 0โ€“0 Belgium D ITL ยท UEFA European Championship
โ˜† 21 Jun 2024 Slovakia 1โ€“2 Ukraine A ITL ยท UEFA European Championship
โ˜† 17 Jun 2024 Romania 3โ€“0 Ukraine H ITL ยท UEFA European Championship
โ˜† 11 Jun 2024 Moldova 0โ€“4 Ukraine A ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 07 Jun 2024 Poland 3โ€“1 Ukraine H ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 03 Jun 2024 Germany 0โ€“0 Ukraine D ITL ยท Friendly
โ˜† 26 Mar 2024 Ukraine 2โ€“1 Iceland H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 21 Mar 2024 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1โ€“2 Ukraine A ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 20 Nov 2023 Ukraine 0โ€“0 Italy D ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 17 Oct 2023 Malta 1โ€“3 Ukraine A ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 14 Oct 2023 Ukraine 2โ€“0 North Macedonia H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 12 Sep 2023 Italy 2โ€“1 Ukraine H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 09 Sep 2023 Ukraine 1โ€“1 England D ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 19 Jun 2023 Ukraine 1โ€“0 Malta H ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 16 Jun 2023 North Macedonia 2โ€“3 Ukraine A ITL ยท UEFA Euro qualification
โ˜† 12 Jun 2023 Germany 3โ€“3 Ukraine D ITL ยท Friendly
342 matches ยท page 1 / 9 โ€น prev next โ€บ
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home ยท Away 1 / X / 2 Draw ยท logistic Tournament
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
โ˜† 14 Nov 19:45 Northern Ireland vs Ukraine โ€“ / โ€“ / โ€“ 29.7% ITL ยท UEFA Nations League
Tue, 17 Nov 2026
โ˜† 17 Nov 19:45 Ukraine vs Georgia โ€“ / โ€“ / โ€“ 29.0% ITL ยท UEFA Nations League

Draw ยท logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals โ€” the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate โ€” fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.