▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
EST · National Team

Estonia

Estonia national football team
ESPN
Played 554
Draw % 22.6%
No-draw N 0
Max streak 23 21 Feb 1993 → 26 Oct 1994
Avg top run 12.3 top 10
Draw debt E 0.00
p50 26.0%
p100 24.0%
Draw score 0.072 rank #1,806 Draws 125
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,501 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,622 reached 30 May 2018
Rank #192 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 554 last 6 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
L L L L W D L L W L D L L W L L L D L D L W D L W W D D W D
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 134 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Estonia drew 32 where the draw model expected 28.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 31.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 23 21 Feb 1993 → 26 Oct 1994 2 18 29 Feb 2012 → 07 Jun 2013 3 14 01 Mar 1997 → 27 Nov 1997 4 13 13 Nov 1994 → 11 Oct 1995 5 12 16 Aug 2006 → 08 Sep 2007 6 11 25 May 2011 → 11 Nov 2011 7 8 24 Mar 2021 → 05 Sep 2021 8 8 09 Jun 2015 → 17 Nov 2015 9 8 31 May 2014 → 12 Nov 2014 10 8 04 Jun 2000 → 10 Dec 2000
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 274 69 25.2%
FIFA World Cup qualification 92 13 14.1%
UEFA Euro qualification 79 10 12.7%
Baltic Cup 67 18 26.9%
UEFA Nations League 28 9 32.1%
King's Cup 4 1 25.0%
United Arab Emirates Friendship Tournament 3 3 100.0%
Malta International Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Four Nations Tournament 2 1 50.0%
FIFA Series 2 1 50.0%
Olympic Games 1 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 4 50.0% 3
2025 10 2 20.0% 5
2024 12 2 16.7% 5
2023 12 3 25.0% 4
2022 10 3 30.0% 4
2021 13 1 7.7% 8
2020 8 3 37.5% 3
2019 12 2 16.7% 6
2018 12 3 25.0% 7
2017 13 3 23.1% 7
2016 14 5 35.7% 4
2015 10 1 10.0% 8
2014 14 3 21.4% 8
2013 13 3 23.1% 5
2012 13 0 0.0% 13
2011 14 2 14.3% 11
2010 13 4 30.8% 3
2009 13 3 23.1% 5
2008 14 4 28.6% 7
2007 14 2 14.3% 8
2006 7 2 28.6% 4
2005 12 2 16.7% 7
2004 16 4 25.0% 5
2003 17 3 17.7% 5
2002 11 3 27.3% 4
2001 13 6 46.2% 4
2000 11 1 9.1% 8
1999 17 7 41.2% 6
1998 14 4 28.6% 5
1997 16 1 6.3% 14
1996 13 6 46.2% 3
1995 12 0 0.0% 12
1994 12 1 8.3% 10
1993 14 1 7.1% 13
1992 5 3 60.0% 1
1991 2 0 0.0% 2
1956 2 0 0.0% 2
1949 2 0 0.0% 2
1948 2 1 50.0% 1
1947 1 1 100.0% 0
1945 2 0 0.0% 2
1942 2 0 0.0% 2
1940 4 2 50.0% 2
1939 4 1 25.0% 2
1938 7 1 14.3% 6
1937 9 1 11.1% 5
1936 5 1 20.0% 2
1935 8 5 62.5% 1
1934 3 3 100.0% 0
1933 8 1 12.5% 5
1932 7 0 0.0% 7
1931 7 0 0.0% 7
1930 6 1 16.7% 5
1929 6 2 33.3% 3
1928 5 2 40.0% 3
1927 5 0 0.0% 5
1926 5 1 20.0% 3
1925 4 2 50.0% 2
1924 6 0 0.0% 6
1923 5 1 20.0% 3
1922 2 1 50.0% 1
1921 2 1 50.0% 1
1920 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Estonia 0–0 Iceland D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 03 Oct 2026 Estonia 1–0 Luxembourg H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 Iceland 1–1 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Estonia 1–0 Lithuania H ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 06 Jun 2026 Estonia 1–0 Faroe Islands H ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 30 Mar 2026 Rwanda 2–0 Estonia H ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 27 Mar 2026 Kenya 1–1 Estonia D ITL · FIFA Series
☆ 18 Nov 2025 Cyprus 2–4 Estonia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Norway 4–1 Estonia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Estonia 1–1 Moldova D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Estonia 1–3 Italy A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Estonia 0–0 Andorra D ITL · Friendly
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Italy 5–0 Estonia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2025 Estonia 0–1 Norway A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Estonia 1–3 Israel A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 25 Mar 2025 Moldova 2–3 Estonia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 22 Mar 2025 Israel 2–1 Estonia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Slovakia 1–0 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Azerbaijan 0–0 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Estonia 0–3 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Estonia 3–1 Azerbaijan H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 08 Sep 2024 Sweden 3–0 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Sep 2024 Estonia 0–1 Slovakia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Jun 2024 Lithuania 1–1 Estonia D ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 08 Jun 2024 Estonia 4–1 Faroe Islands H ITL · Baltic Cup
☆ 04 Jun 2024 Switzerland 4–0 Estonia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Finland 2–1 Estonia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Poland 5–1 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Jan 2024 Sweden 2–1 Estonia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Sweden 2–0 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2023 Estonia 0–2 Austria A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 Estonia 1–1 Thailand D ITL · Friendly
☆ 13 Oct 2023 Estonia 0–2 Azerbaijan A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Sep 2023 Belgium 5–0 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2023 Estonia 0–5 Sweden A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Estonia 0–3 Belgium A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Jun 2023 Azerbaijan 1–1 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Austria 2–1 Estonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 23 Mar 2023 Hungary 1–0 Estonia H ITL · Friendly
554 matches · page 1 / 14 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
☆ 13 Nov 19:45 Luxembourg vs Estonia – / – / – 32.0% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
☆ 16 Nov 17:00 Estonia vs Bulgaria – / – / – 29.7% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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