▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
MNE · National Team

Montenegro

Montenegro national football team
ESPN
Played 174
Draw % 24.1%
No-draw N 0
Max streak 18 10 Sep 2023 → 06 Jun 2025
Avg top run 7.6 top 10
Draw debt E 0.00
p50 16.0%
p100 22.0%
Draw score 0.063 rank #1,873 Draws 42
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,541 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,732 reached 26 Mar 2013
Rank #156 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 174 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W L W W L L L L L L L W W W L D L L L W W L W L W D W W W D
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 109 matches (Jun 2015 – Oct 2026), Montenegro drew 23 where the draw model expected 24.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 25.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 18 10 Sep 2023 → 06 Jun 2025 2 10 08 Oct 2016 → 08 Oct 2017 3 9 05 Sep 2025 → 01 Jun 2026 4 8 08 Jun 2015 → 24 Mar 2016 5 8 18 Nov 2009 → 08 Oct 2010 6 5 16 Nov 2021 → 07 Jun 2022 7 5 10 Sep 2018 → 20 Nov 2018 8 5 11 Oct 2013 → 23 May 2014 9 4 17 Nov 2020 → 30 Mar 2021 10 4 11 Sep 2012 → 22 Mar 2013
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 61 15 24.6%
FIFA World Cup qualification 48 13 27.1%
UEFA Euro qualification 35 10 28.6%
UEFA Nations League 28 4 14.3%
Kirin Cup 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 2 25.0% 3
2025 10 1 10.0% 6
2024 10 0 0.0% 10
2023 10 2 20.0% 5
2022 10 2 20.0% 4
2021 12 4 33.3% 3
2020 8 3 37.5% 2
2019 10 3 30.0% 3
2018 10 4 40.0% 5
2017 7 0 0.0% 7
2016 7 2 28.6% 3
2015 7 0 0.0% 7
2014 7 3 42.9% 2
2013 8 3 37.5% 3
2012 7 2 28.6% 3
2011 8 2 25.0% 3
2010 9 1 11.1% 7
2009 9 4 44.4% 2
2008 8 3 37.5% 3
2007 6 1 16.7% 3
1976 1 0 0.0% 1
1966 1 0 0.0% 1
1946 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 05 Oct 2026 Montenegro 0–0 Armenia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 Latvia 1–2 Montenegro A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 28 Sep 2026 Armenia 2–3 Montenegro A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 05 Jun 2026 Slovakia 2–2 Montenegro D ITL · Friendly
☆ 01 Jun 2026 Bulgaria 0–1 Montenegro A ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Montenegro 2–3 Slovenia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 27 Mar 2026 Montenegro 2–0 Andorra H ITL · Friendly
☆ 17 Nov 2025 Montenegro 2–3 Croatia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Nov 2025 Gibraltar 1–2 Montenegro A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2025 Montenegro 2–1 Liechtenstein H ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Oct 2025 Faroe Islands 4–0 Montenegro H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2025 Croatia 4–0 Montenegro H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Montenegro 0–2 Czechia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2025 Montenegro 2–2 Armenia D ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Czechia 2–0 Montenegro H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 25 Mar 2025 Montenegro 1–0 Faroe Islands H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 22 Mar 2025 Montenegro 3–1 Gibraltar H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Montenegro 3–1 Turkey H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Montenegro 0–2 Iceland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Wales 1–0 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Turkey 1–0 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Sep 2024 Montenegro 1–2 Wales A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Sep 2024 Iceland 2–0 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2024 Montenegro 1–3 Georgia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 05 Jun 2024 Belgium 2–0 Montenegro H ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2024 Montenegro 1–0 North Macedonia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Montenegro 2–0 Belarus H ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Hungary 3–1 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2023 Montenegro 2–0 Lithuania H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 Serbia 3–1 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Montenegro 3–2 Lebanon H ITL · Friendly
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Montenegro 2–1 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Lithuania 2–2 Montenegro D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Montenegro 1–4 Czechia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 17 Jun 2023 Montenegro 0–0 Hungary D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Montenegro 0–2 Serbia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2023 Bulgaria 0–1 Montenegro A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Nov 2022 Slovenia 1–0 Montenegro H ITL · Friendly
☆ 17 Nov 2022 Montenegro 2–2 Slovakia D ITL · Friendly
174 matches · page 1 / 5 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
☆ 12 Nov 19:45 Montenegro vs Latvia – / – / – 22.6% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
☆ 15 Nov 14:00 Cyprus vs Montenegro – / – / – 28.1% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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