☆
· ITL · UEFA Nations League
Team ☆
all results ›
NIR · National Team
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland national football team
Played
711
Draw %
22.8%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
12
08 Oct 2016 → 09 Nov 2017
Avg top run
8.7
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
20.0%
p100
20.0%
Draw score
0.063
rank #1,877
Draws
162
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,736
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,812
reached 4 Sep 2017
Rank
#65
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
711
last 5 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 116 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Northern Ireland drew 26 where the draw model expected 26.8 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
08 Oct 2016 → 09 Nov 2017
2 10
25 Mar 2025 → 26 Mar 2026
3 10
23 Mar 2023 → 20 Nov 2023
4 10
29 May 1999 → 02 Sep 2000
5 9
18 Nov 2018 → 14 Oct 2019
6 8
18 Nov 1992 → 13 Oct 1993
7 7
30 May 2014 → 29 Mar 2015
8 7
24 May 2011 → 11 Oct 2011
9 7
11 Oct 2008 → 06 Jun 2009
10 7
23 Mar 1994 → 16 Nov 1994
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 08 Oct 2016 → 09 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 25 Mar 2025 → 26 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 23 Mar 2023 → 20 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 29 May 1999 → 02 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 18 Nov 2018 → 14 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Nov 1992 → 13 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 30 May 2014 → 29 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 24 May 2011 → 11 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 11 Oct 2008 → 06 Jun 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 23 Mar 1994 → 16 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| British Home Championship | 260 | 47 | 18.1% | 0 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 146 | 39 | 26.7% | 7 | 10 |
| Friendly | 135 | 37 | 27.4% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 124 | 26 | 21.0% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Nations League | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 0 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA European Championship | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Nations Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2019 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2017 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2015 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2014 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2013 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 2011 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2009 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2006 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2005 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2000 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1999 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1997 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1995 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1993 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1990 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1982 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1980 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1978 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1975 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1974 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1973 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1972 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1964 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1928 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1924 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1920 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1919 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1914 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1913 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1907 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1905 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1904 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1903 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1902 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1901 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1900 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1899 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1898 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1897 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1896 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1895 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1894 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1892 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1891 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1890 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1889 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1888 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1887 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1886 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1885 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1884 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1883 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1882 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
711 matches · page 1 / 18
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 19:45 | Northern Ireland | vs | Ukraine | – / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 17 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Nov 19:45 | Hungary | vs | Northern Ireland | – / – / – | 29.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.