▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
ISL · National Team

Iceland

Iceland national football team
ESPN
Played 526
Draw % 19.8%
No-draw N 0
Max streak 19 04 Jun 2011 → 14 Aug 2013
Avg top run 11.9 top 10
Draw debt E 0.00
p50 24.0%
p100 25.0%
Draw score 0.069 rank #1,838 Draws 104
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,662 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,934 reached 9 Oct 2017
Rank #90 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 526 last 6 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W W L W L W L D L W L L L W L W L L D W L L D D L L D W W D
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 147 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Iceland drew 35 where the draw model expected 30.2 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 34.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 19 04 Jun 2011 → 14 Aug 2013 2 15 06 Oct 2016 → 08 Nov 2017 3 13 05 Sep 2020 → 04 Jun 2021 4 11 16 Oct 2023 → 09 Sep 2024 5 11 27 Jul 2000 → 02 Jun 2001 6 10 14 Oct 2024 → 10 Oct 2025 7 10 13 Oct 2015 → 06 Jun 2016 8 10 12 Sep 2007 → 28 May 2008 9 10 21 Aug 2002 → 20 Aug 2003 10 10 20 Apr 1994 → 16 Nov 1994
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 231 49 21.2%
FIFA World Cup qualification 122 23 18.9%
UEFA Euro qualification 120 19 15.8%
UEFA Nations League 26 7 26.9%
Malta International Tournament 7 0 0.0%
UEFA European Championship 5 2 40.0%
Nordic Championship 4 1 25.0%
FIFA World Cup 3 1 33.3%
Baltic Cup 2 2 100.0%
Cyprus International Tournament 2 0 0.0%
Millennium Cup 2 0 0.0%
Chinese FA Cup 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 9 4 44.4% 2
2025 10 1 10.0% 7
2024 12 1 8.3% 8
2023 12 2 16.7% 7
2022 14 8 57.1% 2
2021 13 4 30.8% 5
2020 10 0 0.0% 8
2019 12 3 25.0% 8
2018 15 4 26.7% 5
2017 12 1 8.3% 11
2016 17 3 17.7% 7
2015 11 4 36.4% 3
2014 9 1 11.1% 6
2013 10 3 30.0% 4
2012 10 0 0.0% 10
2011 6 1 16.7% 5
2010 9 3 33.3% 4
2009 11 3 27.3% 5
2008 12 2 16.7% 6
2007 9 3 33.3% 4
2006 6 1 16.7% 4
2005 9 1 11.1% 7
2004 9 2 22.2% 5
2003 8 2 25.0% 5
2002 9 2 22.2% 5
2001 10 2 20.0% 5
2000 9 1 11.1% 6
1999 10 1 10.0% 7
1998 8 4 50.0% 2
1997 10 2 20.0% 6
1996 11 2 18.2% 5
1995 7 3 42.9% 3
1994 10 0 0.0% 10
1993 7 3 42.9% 4
1992 8 1 12.5% 5
1991 9 2 22.2% 5
1990 8 0 0.0% 8
1989 5 2 40.0% 3
1988 8 2 25.0% 3
1987 7 1 14.3% 6
1986 8 2 25.0% 5
1985 7 2 28.6% 5
1984 7 1 14.3% 5
1983 6 0 0.0% 6
1982 10 3 30.0% 4
1981 6 2 33.3% 4
1980 9 2 22.2% 3
1979 6 0 0.0% 6
1978 5 2 40.0% 3
1977 6 0 0.0% 6
1976 6 0 0.0% 6
1975 5 1 20.0% 4
1974 5 2 40.0% 2
1973 7 0 0.0% 7
1972 5 0 0.0% 5
1971 2 0 0.0% 2
1970 2 1 50.0% 1
1969 4 0 0.0% 4
1968 1 0 0.0% 1
1967 1 0 0.0% 1
1965 1 0 0.0% 1
1964 2 0 0.0% 2
1962 3 1 33.3% 2
1960 2 0 0.0% 2
1957 6 0 0.0% 6
1956 1 0 0.0% 1
1955 2 0 0.0% 2
1954 2 0 0.0% 2
1953 2 0 0.0% 2
1951 2 0 0.0% 2
1949 1 0 0.0% 1
1948 1 0 0.0% 1
1947 1 0 0.0% 1
1946 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Estonia 0–0 Iceland D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 03 Oct 2026 Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 Luxembourg 0–3 Iceland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 Iceland 1–1 Estonia D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Argentina 3–0 Iceland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 May 2026 Japan 1–0 Iceland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Haiti 1–1 Iceland D ITL · Friendly
☆ 28 Mar 2026 Canada 2–2 Iceland D ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Feb 2026 Mexico 4–0 Iceland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Ukraine 2–0 Iceland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Azerbaijan 0–2 Iceland A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2025 Iceland 2–2 France D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Oct 2025 Iceland 3–5 Ukraine A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2025 France 2–1 Iceland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Iceland 5–0 Azerbaijan H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 10 Jun 2025 Northern Ireland 1–0 Iceland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Scotland 1–3 Iceland A ITL · Friendly
☆ 23 Mar 2025 Iceland 1–3 Kosovo A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 20 Mar 2025 Kosovo 2–1 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Wales 4–1 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Montenegro 0–2 Iceland A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Iceland 2–4 Turkey A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Oct 2024 Iceland 2–2 Wales D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Sep 2024 Turkey 3–1 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Sep 2024 Iceland 2–0 Montenegro H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Jun 2024 Netherlands 4–0 Iceland H ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Jun 2024 England 0–1 Iceland A ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2024 Ukraine 2–1 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Israel 1–4 Iceland A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Jan 2024 Honduras 0–2 Iceland A ITL · Friendly
☆ 13 Jan 2024 Guatemala 0–1 Iceland A ITL · Friendly
☆ 19 Nov 2023 Portugal 2–0 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2023 Slovakia 4–2 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 16 Oct 2023 Iceland 4–0 Liechtenstein H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2023 Iceland 1–1 Luxembourg D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 11 Sep 2023 Iceland 1–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2023 Luxembourg 3–1 Iceland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Iceland 0–1 Portugal A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Jun 2023 Iceland 1–2 Slovakia A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 26 Mar 2023 Liechtenstein 0–7 Iceland A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
526 matches · page 1 / 14 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
☆ 13 Nov 19:45 Bulgaria vs Iceland – / – / – 26.9% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
☆ 16 Nov 17:00 Iceland vs Luxembourg – / – / – 22.8% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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