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Match official

P Gibbs

2005–2016 · 4 competitions
Matches 201
Draws 55
Draw % 27.4% +3.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 201 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2016), P Gibbs drew 55 where the draw model expected 55.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 54.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 64 20 31.3%
ENG · League One 58 8 13.8%
ENG · Championship 44 15 34.1%
ENG · National League 35 12 34.3%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2015/16 22 6 27.3%
2014/15 14 3 21.4%
2013/14 15 5 33.3%
2011/12 34 9 26.5%
2010/11 28 10 35.7%
2009/10 30 5 16.7%
2008/09 23 5 21.7%
2007/08 14 2 14.3%
2006/07 13 5 38.5%
2005/06 8 5 62.5%
Latest matches last 50

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