N Hair
Over 231 matches (Aug 2016 – Oct 2026), N Hair drew 70 where the draw model expected 63.7 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 89 | 29 | 32.6% |
| ENG · League One | 85 | 29 | 34.1% |
| ENG · National League | 57 | 12 | 21.1% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| 2025/26 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| 2024/25 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| 2023/24 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% |
| 2022/23 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| 2021/22 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% |
| 2020/21 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% |
| 2019/20 | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| 2018/19 | 28 | 12 | 42.9% |
| 2017/18 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2016/17 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Oxford United | 0–0 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League One |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Newport County | 1–1 | York City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Burton Albion | 1–3 | Huddersfield Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Salford City | 1–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Barnet | 2–1 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Barnsley | 1–5 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–1 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · League One |
| 02 May 2026 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–0 | Cambridge United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Stevenage | 2–2 | Lincoln City | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Newport County | 2–1 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Blackpool | 1–0 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Boreham Wood | 1–1 | Forest Green Rovers | D | ENG · National League |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 1–2 | Bromley | A | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–0 | Barnet | D | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Oldham Athletic | 2–1 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Luton Town | 3–0 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Cambridge United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Burton Albion | 0–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Rotherham United | 0–3 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Northampton Town | 1–3 | Cardiff City | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Blackpool | 1–1 | Wycombe Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Burton Albion | 3–0 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Barnet | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Solihull Moors | 1–0 | Brackley Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Scunthorpe United | 4–0 | Truro City | H | ENG · National League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | Walsall | D | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 4–2 | Stockport County | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Grimsby Town | 0–1 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Southend United | 2–0 | Tamworth | H | ENG · National League |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Leyton Orient | 2–0 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Salford City | 1–3 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 May 2025 | Northampton Town | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Swindon Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Altrincham | 1–2 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–1 | AFC Wimbledon | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 0–0 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Mar 2025 | Gateshead | 1–3 | Braintree Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 12 Oct 2024 | AFC Wimbledon | 4–0 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–0 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Gillingham | 2–0 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Exeter City | 2–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Port Vale | 1–0 | Chesterfield | H | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Boston United | 1–3 | Yeovil Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Rotherham United | 0–0 | Bristol Rovers | D | ENG · League One |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Stockport County | 1–3 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Colchester United | 3–3 | Forest Green Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Fleetwood Town | 0–1 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Jan 2024 | Bradford City | 2–4 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Northampton Town | 1–0 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League One |