▦ FDB4
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Match official

Mick Fletcher

2000–2006 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: Fletcher, M., M Fletcher, M. Fletcher, M. Fletcher (Warley)
Matches 171
Draws 55
Draw % 32.2% +7.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 171 matches (Aug 2000 – Apr 2006), Mick Fletcher drew 55 where the draw model expected 47.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 46.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 65 23 35.4%
ENG · League Two 58 19 32.8%
ENG · Championship 48 13 27.1%
By season 6 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2005/06 29 11 37.9%
2004/05 27 10 37.0%
2003/04 28 12 42.9%
2002/03 32 10 31.3%
2001/02 29 10 34.5%
2000/01 26 2 7.7%
Latest matches last 50

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