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M Salisbury

2015–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 258
Draws 61
Draw % 23.6% -0.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 258 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), M Salisbury drew 61 where the draw model expected 68.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 68.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 64 13 20.3%
ENG · League One 63 19 30.2%
ENG · Championship 56 11 19.6%
ENG · League Two 55 13 23.6%
ENG · National League 20 5 25.0%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 4 1 25.0%
2025/26 19 6 31.6%
2024/25 22 2 9.1%
2023/24 15 4 26.7%
2022/23 24 3 12.5%
2021/22 18 4 22.2%
2020/21 25 5 20.0%
2019/20 22 5 22.7%
2018/19 33 11 33.3%
2017/18 29 6 20.7%
2016/17 27 9 33.3%
2015/16 20 5 25.0%
Latest matches last 50

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