☆
· ENG · Premier League
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
2,213
Draw %
20.6%
No-draw N
10
Max streak
50
19 Dec 2020 → 15 Sep 2021
Avg top run
23.8
top 10
Draw debt E
1.62
p50
18.0%
p100
15.0%
Draw score
0.277
rank #463
Draws
455
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
2,267
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
2,331
reached 19 May 2024
Rank
#2
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
2,213
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 704 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Manchester City drew 108 where the draw model expected 132.2 from those particular fixtures — about 24 fewer, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 170.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 50
19 Dec 2020 → 15 Sep 2021
2 30
11 Feb 2015 → 21 Oct 2015
3 28
21 Jan 2020 → 30 Sep 2020
4 21
02 Mar 2011 → 10 Sep 2011
5 20
01 Mar 2009 → 20 Sep 2009
6 19
29 Mar 2008 → 20 Sep 2008
7 18
05 Oct 2025 → 27 Dec 2025
8 18
27 Feb 2019 → 27 Jul 2019
9 17
30 Oct 2021 → 15 Jan 2022
10 17
17 Sep 2013 → 04 Dec 2013
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50 | 19 Dec 2020 → 15 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 30 | 11 Feb 2015 → 21 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 28 | 21 Jan 2020 → 30 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 21 | 02 Mar 2011 → 10 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 20 | 01 Mar 2009 → 20 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 19 | 29 Mar 2008 → 20 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 18 | 05 Oct 2025 → 27 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 18 | 27 Feb 2019 → 27 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 17 | 30 Oct 2021 → 15 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 17 | 17 Sep 2013 → 04 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1078 | 227 | 21.1% | 7 | 31 |
| FA Cup | 396 | 74 | 18.7% | 6 | 6 |
| League Cup | 245 | 46 | 18.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Championship | 184 | 39 | 21.2% | 5 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 148 | 29 | 19.6% | 1 | 15 |
| UEFA Europa League | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 4 | 8 |
| League One | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 12 | 12 |
| FA Community Shield | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2025 | 61 | 7 | 11.5% | 18 |
| 2024 | 61 | 13 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 68 | 11 | 16.2% | 15 |
| 2022 | 58 | 12 | 20.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 70 | 3 | 4.3% | 47 |
| 2020 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 28 |
| 2019 | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | 18 |
| 2018 | 57 | 6 | 10.5% | 15 |
| 2017 | 59 | 12 | 20.3% | 12 |
| 2016 | 60 | 16 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 30 |
| 2014 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2013 | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | 17 |
| 2012 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2011 | 58 | 9 | 15.5% | 21 |
| 2010 | 56 | 15 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2009 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 20 |
| 2008 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 19 |
| 2007 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 11 |
| 2006 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 15 |
| 2005 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 7 |
| 2003 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2002 | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | 12 |
| 2001 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2000 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 13 |
| 1999 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1997 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 1995 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 6 |
| 1994 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 6 |
| 1993 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 5 |
| 1992 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1981 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1979 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1978 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 1977 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 1976 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1975 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1973 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 2 |
| 1972 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1971 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 1969 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1968 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1955 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1937 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1933 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1932 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1915 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1914 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1904 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
2,213 matches · page 1 / 56
‹ prev
next ›
Upcoming fixtures
all fixtures ›
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Wed, 14 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
ENG · Premier League
Tue, 20 Oct 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
☆
ENG · Premier League
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
☆
ENG · League Cup
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
☆
ENG · Premier League
Wed, 04 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
☆
ENG · Premier League
Sat, 21 Nov 2026
☆
ENG · Premier League
Tue, 24 Nov 2026
☆
ITL · UEFA Champions League
|
||||||
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Oct 19:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 14:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Oct 19:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 11:30 |
Aston Villa
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 19:30 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 04 Nov 20:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 17:30 |
Nottingham Forest
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.5% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 12:30 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| Tue, 24 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Nov 20:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.