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Match official

M Bull

2005–2016 · 4 competitions
Matches 150
Draws 38
Draw % 25.3% +1.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 150 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2016), M Bull drew 38 where the draw model expected 41.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 39.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 77 20 26.0%
ENG · League Two 35 8 22.9%
ENG · League One 27 6 22.2%
ENG · Championship 11 4 36.4%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2015/16 22 2 9.1%
2014/15 29 8 27.6%
2013/14 22 8 36.4%
2011/12 17 2 11.8%
2010/11 13 4 30.8%
2009/10 12 3 25.0%
2008/09 8 2 25.0%
2007/08 11 4 36.4%
2006/07 8 4 50.0%
2005/06 8 1 12.5%
Latest matches last 50

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