B Speedie
Over 202 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), B Speedie drew 48 where the draw model expected 56.1 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 54.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 91 | 21 | 23.1% |
| ENG · League Two | 81 | 18 | 22.2% |
| ENG · Championship | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| ENG · National League | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| 2025/26 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% |
| 2024/25 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% |
| 2023/24 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% |
| 2022/23 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% |
| 2021/22 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% |
| 2020/21 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2019/20 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Bristol City | 0–1 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Preston North End | 0–1 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Chesterfield | 2–0 | York City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Blackpool | 2–2 | Bromley | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | 2–0 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 3–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Luton Town | 2–2 | Notts County | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 2–1 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 May 2026 | Northampton Town | 2–3 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · League One |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Walsall | 0–2 | Harrogate Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 3–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League One |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Cambridge United | 4–0 | Notts County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Leicester City | 2–2 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Grimsby Town | 5–0 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Huddersfield Town | 2–2 | Lincoln City | D | ENG · League One |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Exeter City | 0–4 | Cardiff City | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Mar 2026 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Reading | 2–1 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Crawley Town | 0–1 | Crewe Alexandra | A | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Mansfield Town | 0–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | 1–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 2–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 1–1 | Barnsley | D | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Chesterfield | 2–0 | Notts County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–1 | Exeter City | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Hartlepool United | 1–1 | Wealdstone | D | ENG · National League |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 1–2 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Nov 2025 | Reading | 1–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Barnsley | 0–1 | Rotherham United | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Walsall | 1–2 | Barrow | A | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Blackpool | 0–2 | AFC Wimbledon | A | ENG · League One |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Oxford United | 0–1 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 4–1 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Wrexham | 1–3 | Queens Park Rangers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–2 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 0–1 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Bristol City | 0–0 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 0–2 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Cardiff City | 2–1 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 03 May 2025 | Blackpool | 4–1 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Millwall | 1–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Morecambe | 1–3 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Reading | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Exeter City | 0–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Burton Albion | 2–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Carlisle United | 2–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League Two |