Wolverhampton Wanderers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 589 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Wolverhampton Wanderers drew 140 where the draw model expected 151.0 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 150.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 03 Jan 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 30 Aug 2008 → 25 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 23 Oct 2010 → 05 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 26 Dec 2001 → 02 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Oct 2025 → 27 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 May 2021 → 18 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Apr 2024 → 28 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 28 Jan 2024 → 30 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 07 Jan 2017 → 04 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 05 Mar 2013 → 04 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 927 | 267 | 28.8% | 2 | 18 |
| Premier League | 456 | 110 | 24.1% | 0 | 18 |
| FA Cup | 405 | 94 | 23.2% | 3 | 6 |
| League Cup | 166 | 33 | 19.9% | 3 | 5 |
| League One | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 2 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FA Community Shield | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2025 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2024 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 18 |
| 2021 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 12 |
| 2020 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 58 | 17 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2017 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 11 |
| 2016 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 7 |
| 2014 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2013 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2011 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 12 |
| 2009 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 16 |
| 2007 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2005 | 51 | 23 | 45.1% | 5 |
| 2004 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 10 |
| 2003 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2002 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2001 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2000 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 58 | 15 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 1997 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 9 |
| 1996 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 56 | 22 | 39.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 1993 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% | 4 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1980 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 1979 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1973 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 11 |
| 1972 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1971 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1959 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1958 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1951 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1950 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1910 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1904 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1900 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1898 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1897 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1896 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1895 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1892 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1891 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1890 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1889 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1887 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1886 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1884 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Middlesbrough
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 18:45 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 19:00 |
Burnley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 20:00 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:30 |
Wrexham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.