Scotland

Scotland national football team

ESPN

Played 856

Draw % 21.4%

No-draw N 1

Max streak 21 09 Nov 2017 → 19 Nov 2019

Avg top run 11.6 top 10

Draw debt E 0.17

p50 16.0%

p100 18.0%

Draw score 0.092 rank #1,585 Draws 183

Team strength · Elo all ratings ›

Rating 1,803 everyone starts at 1500

Peak 1,898 reached 8 Sep 2023

Rank #41 of 336 national teams

Matches rated 856 last 29 Sep 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted

W D L D L L L L D W W W L L W D W W W L W L L W W W L L D L

Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 119 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Scotland drew 23 where the draw model expected 25.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 27.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›

#	Run	From → To
1	21	09 Nov 2017 → 19 Nov 2019	▸ matches
2	12	08 Sep 2025 → 24 Jun 2026	▸ matches
3	11	12 Oct 2012 → 15 Oct 2013	▸ matches
4	11	06 Sep 2003 → 18 Aug 2004	▸ matches
5	11	05 Jul 1972 → 17 Oct 1973	▸ matches
6	10	24 Mar 2007 → 17 Nov 2007	▸ matches
7	10	29 Mar 1997 → 25 Mar 1998	▸ matches
8	10	24 May 1995 → 29 May 1996	▸ matches
9	10	15 Apr 1961 → 02 May 1962	▸ matches
10	10	21 Oct 1950 → 14 Nov 1951	▸ matches

By competition (all-time)

Competition	P	D	Draw%	N	Max
British Home Championship	263	56	21.3%	0	3
Friendly	248	49	19.8%	4	9
FIFA World Cup qualification	139	30	21.6%	5	7
UEFA Euro qualification	124	28	22.6%	0	10
UEFA Nations League	26	4	15.4%	1	5
FIFA World Cup	26	7	26.9%	3	3
UEFA European Championship	12	3	25.0%	1	3
Rous Cup	8	2	25.0%	2	2
Kirin Cup	4	2	50.0%	0	1
Brazil Independence Cup	3	2	66.7%	1	1
Nations Cup	3	0	0.0%	3	3

By calendar year

Year	P	D	Draw%	Max
2026	9	1	11.1%	7
2025	10	1	10.0%	5
2024	13	3	23.1%	4
2023	10	2	20.0%	8
2022	10	3	30.0%	6
2021	15	4	26.7%	8
2020	8	3	37.5%	2
2019	10	0	0.0%	10
2018	10	0	0.0%	10
2017	8	3	37.5%	3
2016	8	1	12.5%	5
2015	8	2	25.0%	3
2014	7	2	28.6%	2
2013	10	1	10.0%	8
2012	8	3	37.5%	3
2011	10	1	10.0%	5
2010	7	1	14.3%	4
2009	7	0	0.0%	7
2008	7	3	42.9%	2
2007	10	0	0.0%	10
2006	7	1	14.3%	4
2005	9	4	44.4%	3
2004	11	3	27.3%	6
2003	12	3	25.0%	5
2002	9	1	11.1%	5
2001	6	3	50.0%	2
2000	7	2	28.6%	3
1999	10	2	20.0%	4
1998	9	4	44.4%	2
1997	10	1	10.0%	9
1996	10	2	20.0%	4
1995	9	2	22.2%	6
1994	7	1	14.3%	5
1993	8	1	12.5%	5
1992	11	4	36.4%	4
1991	6	2	33.3%	2
1990	11	2	18.2%	6
1989	8	1	12.5%	7
1988	8	5	62.5%	2
1987	8	2	25.0%	4
1986	10	4	40.0%	3
1985	8	3	37.5%	4
1984	6	1	16.7%	4
1983	10	3	30.0%	5
1982	11	2	18.2%	4
1981	9	2	22.2%	5
1980	8	1	12.5%	7
1979	9	2	22.2%	5
1978	10	3	30.0%	4
1977	10	2	20.0%	4
1976	7	0	0.0%	7
1975	10	5	50.0%	2
1974	11	2	18.2%	7
1973	9	1	11.1%	8
1972	9	2	22.2%	4
1971	10	1	10.0%	7
1970	4	2	50.0%	1
1969	8	3	37.5%	2
1968	5	2	40.0%	3
1967	5	0	0.0%	3
1966	6	2	33.3%	3
1965	9	3	33.3%	6
1964	5	1	20.0%	3
1963	8	0	0.0%	8
1962	4	0	0.0%	2
1961	8	0	0.0%	8
1960	7	2	28.6%	3
1959	5	0	0.0%	5
1958	8	3	37.5%	3
1957	8	2	25.0%	5
1956	5	3	60.0%	2
1955	7	1	14.3%	4
1954	9	2	22.2%	4
1953	4	2	50.0%	1
1952	6	1	16.7%	4
1951	7	0	0.0%	7
1950	7	1	14.3%	3
1949	5	0	0.0%	5
1948	6	0	0.0%	4
1947	5	1	20.0%	4
1946	6	3	50.0%	1
1939	1	0	0.0%	1
1938	5	0	0.0%	5
1937	5	2	40.0%	1
1936	4	1	25.0%	3
1935	5	1	20.0%	3
1934	3	0	0.0%	2
1933	4	1	25.0%	2
1932	4	0	0.0%	4
1931	7	1	14.3%	6
1930	4	1	25.0%	3
1929	6	1	16.7%	3
1928	3	0	0.0%	2
1927	3	1	33.3%	2
1926	3	0	0.0%	2
1925	4	0	0.0%	3
1924	3	1	33.3%	2
1923	3	1	33.3%	2
1922	3	0	0.0%	3
1921	4	0	0.0%	4
1920	3	1	33.3%	2
1914	3	2	66.7%	1
1913	3	1	33.3%	2
1912	3	1	33.3%	2
1911	3	2	66.7%	1
1910	3	0	0.0%	3
1909	3	0	0.0%	3
1908	3	1	33.3%	2
1907	3	1	33.3%	2
1906	3	0	0.0%	3
1905	3	0	0.0%	3
1904	3	2	66.7%	1
1903	3	0	0.0%	3
1902	3	1	33.3%	2
1901	3	2	66.7%	1
1900	3	0	0.0%	3
1899	3	0	0.0%	3
1898	3	0	0.0%	3
1897	3	1	33.3%	2
1896	3	1	33.3%	1
1895	3	1	33.3%	2
1894	3	1	33.3%	2
1893	3	0	0.0%	3
1892	3	0	0.0%	3
1891	3	0	0.0%	3
1890	3	1	33.3%	2
1889	3	1	33.3%	2
1888	4	0	0.0%	3
1887	3	0	0.0%	3
1886	3	1	33.3%	1
1885	3	1	33.3%	1
1884	3	0	0.0%	3
1883	2	0	0.0%	2
1882	2	0	0.0%	2
1881	2	0	0.0%	2
1880	2	0	0.0%	2
1879	2	0	0.0%	2
1878	2	0	0.0%	2
1877	2	0	0.0%	2
1876	2	0	0.0%	2
1875	1	1	100.0%	0
1874	1	0	0.0%	1
1873	1	0	0.0%	1
1872	1	1	100.0%	0

Matches all results ›

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
03 Mar 2010	Scotland	1–0	Czechia	H	ITL · Friendly
14 Nov 2009	Wales	3–0	Scotland	H	ITL · Friendly
10 Oct 2009	Japan	2–0	Scotland	H	ITL · Friendly
09 Sep 2009	Scotland	0–1	Netherlands	A	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
05 Sep 2009	Scotland	2–0	North Macedonia	H	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
12 Aug 2009	Norway	4–0	Scotland	H	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
01 Apr 2009	Scotland	2–1	Iceland	H	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
28 Mar 2009	Netherlands	3–0	Scotland	H	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
19 Nov 2008	Scotland	0–1	Argentina	A	ITL · Friendly
11 Oct 2008	Scotland	0–0	Norway	D	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
10 Sep 2008	Iceland	1–2	Scotland	A	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
06 Sep 2008	North Macedonia	1–0	Scotland	H	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
20 Aug 2008	Scotland	0–0	Northern Ireland	D	ITL · Friendly
30 May 2008	Czechia	3–1	Scotland	H	ITL · Friendly
26 Mar 2008	Scotland	1–1	Croatia	D	ITL · Friendly
17 Nov 2007	Scotland	1–2	Italy	A	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
17 Oct 2007	Georgia	2–0	Scotland	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
13 Oct 2007	Scotland	3–1	Ukraine	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
12 Sep 2007	France	0–1	Scotland	A	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
08 Sep 2007	Scotland	3–1	Lithuania	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
22 Aug 2007	Scotland	1–0	South Africa	H	ITL · Friendly
06 Jun 2007	Faroe Islands	0–2	Scotland	A	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
30 May 2007	Austria	0–1	Scotland	A	ITL · Friendly
28 Mar 2007	Italy	2–0	Scotland	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
24 Mar 2007	Scotland	2–1	Georgia	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
11 Oct 2006	Ukraine	2–0	Scotland	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
07 Oct 2006	Scotland	1–0	France	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
06 Sep 2006	Lithuania	1–2	Scotland	A	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
02 Sep 2006	Scotland	6–0	Faroe Islands	H	ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
13 May 2006	Japan	0–0	Scotland	D	ITL · Kirin Cup
11 May 2006	Bulgaria	1–5	Scotland	A	ITL · Kirin Cup
01 Mar 2006	Scotland	1–3	Switzerland	A	ITL · Friendly
12 Nov 2005	Scotland	1–1	United States	D	ITL · Friendly
12 Oct 2005	Slovenia	0–3	Scotland	A	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
08 Oct 2005	Scotland	0–1	Belarus	A	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
07 Sep 2005	Norway	1–2	Scotland	A	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
03 Sep 2005	Scotland	1–1	Italy	D	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
17 Aug 2005	Austria	2–2	Scotland	D	ITL · Friendly
08 Jun 2005	Belarus	0–0	Scotland	D	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
04 Jun 2005	Scotland	2–0	Moldova	H	ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification

856 matches · page 5 / 22 ‹ prev next ›

Upcoming fixtures opening 1 / X / 2 — draw price highlighted

Date	Home	·	Away	1 / X / 2	Draw · logistic	Tournament
Sat, 03 Oct 2026
03 Oct 18:45	North Macedonia	vs	Scotland	– / – / –	28.1%	ITL · UEFA Nations League
Tue, 06 Oct 2026
06 Oct 18:45	Scotland	vs	Slovenia	– / – / –	28.3%	ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.