▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
MDA · National Team

Moldova

Moldova national football team
ESPN
Played 304
Draw % 23.4%
No-draw N 2
Max streak 16 28 Mar 2021 → 03 Jun 2022
Avg top run 10.4 top 10
Draw debt E 0.46
p50 24.0%
p100 22.0%
Draw score 0.155 rank #1,033 Draws 71
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,370 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,597 reached 12 Oct 1994
Rank #276 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 304 last 6 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
D D L D W L W W W L W D L L L L L L L D L L L L D D L D W L
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 119 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Moldova drew 28 where the draw model expected 22.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 16 28 Mar 2021 → 03 Jun 2022 2 14 03 Sep 2010 → 11 Nov 2011 3 12 21 Feb 2019 → 09 Jan 2020 4 11 01 Jun 1996 → 07 Oct 1997 5 11 20 Apr 1994 → 15 Nov 1995 6 9 06 Jun 2001 → 27 Mar 2002 7 9 16 Dec 1999 → 07 Oct 2000 8 8 29 Mar 2003 → 20 Nov 2003 9 7 22 Mar 2025 → 09 Oct 2025 10 7 08 Jun 2024 → 16 Nov 2024
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 111 37 33.3%
FIFA World Cup qualification 76 14 18.4%
UEFA Euro qualification 76 13 17.1%
UEFA Nations League 28 6 21.4%
Malta International Tournament 5 1 20.0%
Jordan International Tournament 5 0 0.0%
Cyprus International Tournament 3 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 3 37.5% 2
2025 10 1 10.0% 7
2024 9 2 22.2% 7
2023 10 5 50.0% 2
2022 12 1 8.3% 6
2021 12 1 8.3% 11
2020 9 2 22.2% 4
2019 11 0 0.0% 11
2018 11 5 45.5% 2
2017 10 3 30.0% 4
2016 8 2 25.0% 6
2015 9 3 33.3% 5
2014 12 2 16.7% 5
2013 10 3 30.0% 3
2012 8 3 37.5% 2
2011 10 0 0.0% 10
2010 8 2 25.0% 4
2009 10 4 40.0% 3
2008 10 3 30.0% 4
2007 10 2 20.0% 5
2006 6 2 33.3% 3
2005 7 2 28.6% 5
2004 9 3 33.3% 4
2003 10 2 20.0% 8
2002 8 1 12.5% 4
2001 10 3 30.0% 5
2000 9 1 11.1% 8
1999 8 4 50.0% 2
1998 7 2 28.6% 3
1997 5 0 0.0% 5
1996 7 1 14.3% 6
1995 6 0 0.0% 6
1994 6 1 16.7% 5
1992 7 2 28.6% 5
1991 1 0 0.0% 1
1956 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 06 Oct 2026 Moldova 0–4 Slovakia A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Sep 2026 Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 26 Sep 2026 Slovakia 2–0 Moldova H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Jun 2026 Armenia 1–1 Moldova D ITL · Friendly
☆ 05 Jun 2026 Moldova 2–2 Bulgaria D ITL · Friendly
☆ 30 Mar 2026 Cyprus 3–2 Moldova H ITL · Friendly
☆ 26 Mar 2026 Moldova 0–2 Lithuania A ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Moldova 1–4 Israel A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Moldova 0–2 Italy A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Estonia 1–1 Moldova D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Oct 2025 Romania 2–1 Moldova H ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Sep 2025 Norway 11–1 Moldova H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Moldova 0–4 Israel A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2025 Italy 2–0 Moldova H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Poland 2–0 Moldova H ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Mar 2025 Moldova 2–3 Estonia A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 22 Mar 2025 Moldova 0–5 Norway A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 19 Nov 2024 Gibraltar 1–1 Moldova D ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2024 Andorra 0–1 Moldova A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 13 Oct 2024 Malta 1–0 Moldova H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Oct 2024 Moldova 2–0 Andorra H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Sep 2024 Moldova 1–0 San Marino H ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Sep 2024 Moldova 2–0 Malta H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 11 Jun 2024 Moldova 0–4 Ukraine A ITL · Friendly
☆ 08 Jun 2024 Moldova 3–2 Cyprus H ITL · Friendly
☆ 22 Mar 2024 North Macedonia 1–1 Moldova D ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Nov 2023 Czechia 3–0 Moldova H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2023 Moldova 1–1 Albania D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 15 Oct 2023 Poland 1–1 Moldova D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Oct 2023 Sweden 3–1 Moldova H ITL · Friendly
☆ 10 Sep 2023 Faroe Islands 0–1 Moldova A ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 07 Sep 2023 Austria 1–1 Moldova D ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Jun 2023 Moldova 3–2 Poland H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Jun 2023 Albania 2–0 Moldova H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 27 Mar 2023 Moldova 0–0 Czechia D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 24 Mar 2023 Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 20 Nov 2022 Moldova 0–5 Romania A ITL · Friendly
☆ 16 Nov 2022 Moldova 1–2 Azerbaijan A ITL · Friendly
☆ 25 Sep 2022 Moldova 2–0 Liechtenstein H ITL · UEFA Nations League
304 matches · page 1 / 8 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
☆ 13 Nov 17:00 Moldova vs Kazakhstan – / – / – 27.4% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
☆ 16 Nov 15:00 Faroe Islands vs Moldova – / – / – 23.5% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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