▦ FDB4
Team ☆ all results ›
ITA · National Team

Italy

Italy national football team
ESPN
Played 897
Draw % 27.2%
No-draw N 1
Max streak 19 22 Nov 1975 → 25 Jan 1978
Avg top run 10.8 top 10
Draw debt E 0.22
p50 20.0%
p100 24.0%
Draw score 0.113 rank #1,430 Draws 244
Trophies 2 competitions
ITL · FIFA World Cup
🏆 3 × Champion (1934, 1982, 2006)
🥈 2 × Runner-up (1970, 1994)
ITL · UEFA European Championship
🏆 2 × Champion (1968, 2021)
🥈 2 × Runner-up (2000, 2012)
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,957 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 2,095 reached 2 Jul 2021
Rank #16 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 897 last 5 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
D W W L D L W W D W W L L D L W W W W W W L W D W W L W D W
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 137 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Italy drew 34 where the draw model expected 27.8 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 32.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
1 19 22 Nov 1975 → 25 Jan 1978 2 13 11 Nov 2020 → 02 Jul 2021 3 11 20 Nov 2018 → 18 Nov 2019 4 10 22 Sep 1993 → 23 Jun 1994 5 10 14 Jun 1966 → 22 Mar 1967 6 9 06 Jun 2025 → 26 Mar 2026 7 9 14 Jun 2022 → 18 Jun 2023 8 9 12 Sep 2007 → 09 Jun 2008 9 9 22 Jun 2004 → 26 Mar 2005 10 9 13 Nov 1999 → 24 Jun 2000
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 396 111 28.0%
FIFA World Cup qualification 128 31 24.2%
UEFA Euro qualification 126 32 25.4%
FIFA World Cup 83 21 25.3%
UEFA European Championship 49 19 38.8%
Central European International Cup 46 11 23.9%
UEFA Nations League 32 10 31.3%
Olympic Games 15 1 6.7%
Confederations Cup 8 2 25.0%
USA Cup 3 2 66.7%
Tournoi de France 3 2 66.7%
Inter-Allied Games 3 0 0.0%
Scania 100 Tournament 2 1 50.0%
Mundialito 2 1 50.0%
CONMEBOL–UEFA Cup of Champions 1 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 8 2 25.0% 4
2025 10 1 10.0% 8
2024 14 3 21.4% 3
2023 10 2 20.0% 4
2022 11 2 18.2% 5
2021 19 6 31.6% 10
2020 8 3 37.5% 3
2019 10 0 0.0% 10
2018 11 5 45.5% 2
2017 11 2 18.2% 7
2016 15 4 26.7% 7
2015 10 4 40.0% 6
2014 12 3 25.0% 7
2013 18 10 55.6% 3
2012 14 4 28.6% 4
2011 12 2 16.7% 7
2010 12 6 50.0% 4
2009 15 4 26.7% 5
2008 13 5 38.5% 4
2007 10 1 10.0% 5
2006 16 6 37.5% 4
2005 13 6 46.2% 4
2004 13 4 30.8% 7
2003 11 1 9.1% 7
2002 13 4 30.8% 3
2001 9 2 22.2% 5
2000 14 2 14.3% 8
1999 9 5 55.6% 1
1998 11 3 27.3% 3
1997 12 6 50.0% 3
1996 8 2 25.0% 3
1995 9 1 11.1% 6
1994 16 3 18.8% 7
1993 8 0 0.0% 5
1992 9 4 44.4% 2
1991 9 4 44.4% 3
1990 14 5 35.7% 5
1989 10 3 30.0% 3
1988 11 2 18.2% 6
1987 10 3 30.0% 3
1986 10 2 20.0% 5
1985 7 2 28.6% 3
1984 9 3 33.3% 2
1983 7 1 14.3% 6
1982 13 6 46.2% 5
1981 8 4 50.0% 2
1980 12 4 33.3% 5
1979 5 1 20.0% 3
1978 14 3 21.4% 7
1977 7 0 0.0% 7
1976 9 0 0.0% 9
1975 9 3 33.3% 2
1974 8 4 50.0% 3
1973 8 1 12.5% 7
1972 8 4 50.0% 2
1971 6 2 33.3% 2
1970 11 4 36.4% 3
1969 6 3 50.0% 2
1968 6 2 33.3% 2
1967 6 2 33.3% 2
1966 10 1 10.0% 9
1965 9 3 33.3% 5
1964 4 1 25.0% 2
1963 6 1 16.7% 4
1962 7 1 14.3% 2
1961 5 0 0.0% 5
1960 3 0 0.0% 2
1959 4 3 75.0% 1
1958 4 2 50.0% 2
1957 5 1 20.0% 3
1956 6 1 16.7% 4
1955 5 0 0.0% 3
1954 6 0 0.0% 5
1953 4 0 0.0% 2
1952 4 2 50.0% 1
1951 5 3 60.0% 1
1950 4 0 0.0% 4
1949 5 1 20.0% 3
1948 2 0 0.0% 2
1947 4 0 0.0% 2
1946 1 0 0.0% 1
1945 1 1 100.0% 0
1942 2 0 0.0% 2
1940 4 2 50.0% 2
1939 8 1 12.5% 6
1938 8 0 0.0% 6
1937 5 2 40.0% 3
1936 6 2 33.3% 1
1935 4 1 25.0% 2
1934 9 1 11.1% 3
1933 7 1 14.3% 4
1932 6 1 16.7% 3
1931 8 3 37.5% 2
1930 5 1 20.0% 2
1929 4 0 0.0% 3
1928 12 3 25.0% 4
1927 7 3 42.9% 1
1926 6 1 16.7% 3
1925 5 1 20.0% 4
1924 8 2 25.0% 4
1923 4 2 50.0% 1
1922 4 3 75.0% 1
1921 5 2 40.0% 3
1920 7 1 14.3% 4
1919 3 0 0.0% 3
1915 1 0 0.0% 1
1914 4 2 50.0% 1
1913 3 0 0.0% 3
1912 5 0 0.0% 4
1911 4 2 50.0% 1
1910 2 0 0.0% 2
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
☆ 05 Oct 2026 Italy 3–1 Turkey H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 02 Oct 2026 France 1–1 Italy D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 28 Sep 2026 Turkey 1–4 Italy A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 25 Sep 2026 Italy 0–2 Belgium A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 07 Jun 2026 Greece 0–1 Italy A ITL · Friendly
☆ 03 Jun 2026 Luxembourg 0–1 Italy A ITL · Friendly
☆ 31 Mar 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina 4–1(ft:1–1) Italy D ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 26 Mar 2026 Italy 2–0 Northern Ireland H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 16 Nov 2025 Italy 1–4 Norway A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2025 Moldova 0–2 Italy A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2025 Italy 3–0 Israel H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Oct 2025 Estonia 1–3 Italy A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2025 Israel 4–5 Italy A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2025 Italy 5–0 Estonia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 09 Jun 2025 Italy 2–0 Moldova H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 06 Jun 2025 Norway 3–0 Italy H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 23 Mar 2025 Germany 3–3 Italy D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 20 Mar 2025 Italy 1–2 Germany A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 17 Nov 2024 Italy 1–3 France A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Nov 2024 Belgium 0–1 Italy A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 14 Oct 2024 Italy 4–1 Israel H ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 10 Oct 2024 Italy 2–2 Belgium D ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 09 Sep 2024 Israel 1–2 Italy A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 06 Sep 2024 France 1–3 Italy A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 29 Jun 2024 Switzerland 2–0 Italy H ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 24 Jun 2024 Croatia 1–1 Italy D ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 20 Jun 2024 Spain 1–0 Italy H ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 15 Jun 2024 Italy 2–1 Albania H ITL · UEFA European Championship
☆ 09 Jun 2024 Italy 1–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina H ITL · Friendly
☆ 04 Jun 2024 Italy 0–0 Turkey D ITL · Friendly
☆ 24 Mar 2024 Ecuador 0–2 Italy A ITL · Friendly
☆ 21 Mar 2024 Venezuela 1–2 Italy A ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Nov 2023 Ukraine 0–0 Italy D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2023 Italy 5–2 North Macedonia H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 17 Oct 2023 England 3–1 Italy H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 14 Oct 2023 Italy 4–0 Malta H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 12 Sep 2023 Italy 2–1 Ukraine H ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 09 Sep 2023 North Macedonia 1–1 Italy D ITL · UEFA Euro qualification
☆ 18 Jun 2023 Netherlands 2–3 Italy A ITL · UEFA Nations League
☆ 15 Jun 2023 Spain 2–1 Italy H ITL · UEFA Nations League
897 matches · page 1 / 23 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
☆ 12 Nov 19:45 Italy vs France – / – / – 24.4% ITL · UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
☆ 15 Nov 19:45 Belgium vs Italy – / – / – 23.5% ITL · UEFA Nations League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.

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