San Marino
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 225 matches (Nov 1990 – Jun 2026), San Marino drew 11 where the draw model expected 27.7 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 3.5 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of San Marino.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 12 times running. A flat league average would have expected 48.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 25 Mar 2021 → 12 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 08 Sep 2018 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 04 Jun 2016 → 08 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 16 Aug 2006 → 21 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Nov 2024 → 28 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 20 Nov 2022 → 20 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 14 Aug 2012 → 15 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 03 Sep 2010 → 11 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 28 Apr 2004 → 12 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 10 Sep 2008 → 14 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Euro qualification | 86 | 1 | 1.2% | 10 | 12 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 84 | 2 | 2.4% | 8 | 10 |
| Friendly | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Nations League | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 1 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2021 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
